Tuesday, November 24, 2015

Daniel Greenfield's article: Everything's Fine Until the Bombs Go Off

Daniel Greenfield's article: Everything's Fine Until the Bombs Go Off

Link to Sultan Knish

Posted: 23 Nov 2015 07:24 PM PST
Last month, French President Francois Hollande ridiculed the idea that the massive numbers of Muslim migrants entering his country were any kind of threat.

“Those who argue that we are being invaded are manipulators and falsifiers, who do this only for political reasons, to scare,” the left-wing politician huffed.

And then the pudgy little Socialist had to be rapidly evacuated from France’s national soccer stadium after one of those refugees blew himself up trying to reach Monsieur le Président, and Merkel’s Foreign Minister, Frank-Walter Steinmeier.

Minister Steinmeier had urged rejecting “barriers, fences” when it came to the Muslim migrants, but it was a barrier and the security in front of it that kept one of his beloved refugees from reaching him.

The ordinary people who didn’t have and don’t have the security measures that protect Hollande and Steinemeier died in Paris, blown up and gunned down where they sat, lay and stood.

Hollande's rhetoric is familiar. You can hear it from Obama. You can catch it on the news. We have nothing to worry about. At least not until the bombs start going off. There will be a multi-layered vetting process. The same system that let in all the terrorists before won't let us down now.

At least not until it does.

Everything's fine until the bombs go off. Then we're told not to worry about it because there's no way it could possibly happen again. Not with this new hashtag our brightest brains have cooked up. And then we can let 10,000 potential terrorists into the country while ignoring all the "falsifiers" warning of an "invasion."

It worked for France. It'll work for us.

Vetting for Syrian migrants works as well in the real world as it does for left-wing politicians.

In Greece, overburdened local authorities don’t care. New migrants are allowed to fill out their own paperwork and are handed letters of transit that allow them access to Europe. An employee at a local registration center was quoted as saying, “We just have to trust what they write down.”

And then the media insists that we have to trust what they write down about the refugees. Even the lies.

In September, at a joint press conference with Secretary of State John Kerry, Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier had called taking in migrants a “moral duty” and urged Americans to “increase the numbers you can take into your country”.

Now Germany is hunting for its own links to the Paris attacks. A few days earlier, Steinemeier had boasted that Germans were bending over backwards for the refugees and proving that, “Germany belongs not to the screamers and hatemongers.” But the terror cells of Hamburg might disagree.

But don’t assume that Hollande or Steinmeier learned any lessons from the latest Muslim massacre.

In September, France’s President Hollande told the French that he had information that attacks against France had been planned from Syria and that planning for future air strikes against ISIS would begin.

In that same speech, he announced that France would be taking in 24,000 migrants.

Hollande knew ahead of time that this disaster was coming. He even prepared the response to it at the same time as he was welcoming some of the potential perpetrators into his country.

It wouldn’t be too surprising if he even had a speech pre-written and ready to go for just such an attack.

Even as Hollande was denouncing “manipulators and falsifiers” for trying to “scare” the French, he had a very good idea of just how much there was to be scared of.

The President of France had looked his nation in the eye and lied to them about the invasion.

Monsieur le Président probably didn’t expect to be this close to the killing when it happened. Neither did Foreign Minister Steinmeier. It’s the Jews and Poles in Marseille or the people in Calais who happen to be a little too close to the New Jungle camp that were meant to be the sacrifices of their compassion.

Unfortunately for Hollande and Steinmeier, the Islamic State didn’t get the memo. Unfortunately for us, their only real response to the crisis they caused will be to try to globalize it even further.

Back then Hollande and Merkel were demanding a “permanent mandatory system” for redistributing Muslim migrants across Europe. Germany and France turned the Muslim migrant crisis into a European problem. Now they want to repeat the butchery in Paris around the world.

G20 named the migrant crisis a global problem and expects the world to solve it.

Greece doesn’t have the money, resources or infrastructure to screen the migrant horde. Frontex is undermanned and its employees, in European fashion, work until 4 PM, at which point the refugees just write whatever they want and get handed letters of transit by Greek officials that want them gone.

The Balkan countries are not any better equipped to manage the invasion than Greece. And the European countries that actually want the migrants aren’t interested in checking their papers, but in signing them up for as many social services as possible.

That’s not just true of Europe. It’s equally true of the United States.

Any talk of vetting is nothing more than plausible deniability. Unless a terrorist is already in our database, vetting him is a lost cause. Our system couldn’t handle the World Trade Center bombers or the 9/11 hijackers and they came from functioning countries that weren’t in the middle of a civil war.

We are not going to be able to vet tens of thousands of people who claim they come from Syria, who have fake passports or who plead that they lost their passports at sea, whose names can be rendered in enough ways to give even a linguist a headache and who will get access to the United States long enough for them to disappear even if we did eventually turn up something on them.

And we’re not supposed to vet them.

Despite the rhetoric, France and Germany are less interested in fighting ISIS than in getting the United States and the rest of the world to take more Muslim migrants. Instead of having ISIS in every city in Europe, they seem determined to make sure that it is in every city in the world instead.

ISIS may have carried out the brutal massacres in Paris, but Hollande, Merkel and the other friends of the refugees helped make it happen. And they want to help make it happen around the world.

The migrant crisis is an invasion. The bodies in Paris could just as easily have been stacked up in any country that was foolish and feckless enough to open the door to ISIS by taking in “refugees”.

If Obama and Kerry succeed in their plan to bring tens of thousands of Syrian migrants to America, the next brutal massacre might not happen in Paris. It might happen in one of our cities instead.
Daniel Greenfield is a New York City based writer and blogger and a Shillman Journalism Fellow of the David Horowitz Freedom Center.

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Eye on Iran: Iran Leader Hosts Putin, Says U.S. Policies Threaten Tehran, Moscow

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Reuters: "Iran's supreme leader, at a meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Tehran, said on Monday U.S. policies in the Middle East region were a threat to both countries and called for closer ties between Tehran and Moscow. The civil war in Syria has evolved into a wider proxy struggle between global powers, with Russia and Iran supporting Syrian President Bashar al-Assad while Western powers, Turkey and Gulf Arab states want him out. 'The Americans have a long-term plot and are trying to dominate Syria and then the whole region ... This is a threat to all countries, especially Russia and Iran,' Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said, according to his website, at the meeting on the sidelines of the Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF) Summit in Tehran. 'The United States is now trying to achieve its failed military objectives in Syria by political means,' he added, referring to proposed peace talks to end the civil war in Syria." http://t.uani.com/1lfStvB

FT: "Iran's Supreme Leader said on Monday that the US had 'no right' to remove Syrian president Bashar al-Assad and described Washington's policy in the Middle East as a threat... Mr Putin was in the Iranian capital for his first visit in eight years and had two hours of talks with Mr Khamenei. The ayatollah praised Russia's campaign in Syria, where Moscow says it has intervened to fight Isis, the militant group, although many of its air strikes have targeted Mr Assad's opponents rather than the jihadis... During their talks, Ayatollah Khamenei praised Mr Putin for adopting 'very good and creative' policies on a number issues over the past year and a half - a clear reference to his confrontation with western states over Ukraine - telling him: 'you foiled the US policy to sideline its rivals'... Mr Putin told the ayatollah that he considered Iran 'a reliable ally'. 'Unlike others, we are committed to not stabbing our partners in the back and to not acting against our friends behind closed doors,' Iranian media quoted Mr Putin as saying." http://t.uani.com/1MA4HIJ

Reuters: "Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on Tuesday accused the United States of trying to divide Iraq along sectarian and ethnic lines and urged Iraqis to withstand any such plans. Shi'ite Muslim power Iran wields great influence in Iraq, which has a majority Shi'ite population. Its military advisers are helping direct Baghdad's campaign against Sunni Islamist militant group Islamic State, which seized around a third of Iraq's territory last year... 'The Americans must not be allowed to consider Iraq as their personal property ... and dare to openly talk about disintegration of Iraq,' Khamenei said according to his website. 'The Iraqi people, Shi'ites, Sunnis, Kurds and Arabs have been living together peacefully but some regional countries and some foreigners are trying to amplify differences among them,' he added. On Tuesday Khamenei met Iraq's President Fouad Massoum on the sidelines of the Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF) Summit in Tehran." http://t.uani.com/1N5SLf9

Nuclear Program & Agreement

IRNA (Iran): "Iran joins club of enriched uranium suppliers by selling 9 tons of enriched uranium to Russia, Head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran Ali Akbar Salehi said on Tuesday. According to the Joint Comprehensive Plan Of Action (JCPOA), Iran will sell 9 tons of its 4 percent enriched uranium to Russia, he added. Speaking to reporters early Tuesday, Salehi said in the meantime that Iran will import 140 tons of natural uranium from Russia. Russia had good cooperation with Iran during nuclear negotiations, he noted. Salehi said that Russian officials have also accepted to help Iran to upgrade its centrifuges for production of stable isotopes. Iran has also a plan to construct Bushehr nuclear fuel complex to provide the power plant's required fuel under the license of Russia, he added. Russian President Vladimir Putin on Monday signed a document to remove limits and restrictions on broadening nuclear cooperation with Iran." http://t.uani.com/1P6d6aN

ISNA (Iran): "Head of Atomic Energy Organization of Iran(AEOI) Ali Akbar Salehi expressed the hope that construction of Phase 2 and Phase 3 of Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant would be started jointly with Russia by the end of the current Iranian calendar year (which ends on March 20, 2016). 'We hope that we can start construction of Phase 2 and Phase 3 of Bushehr (Nuclear Power Plant) by Russia's help by the end of this year.' He said that Iranian and Russian officials discussed Bushehr 2 and Bushehr 3 nuclear power plants (on Monday night) whose documents have already been signed. Salehi said that the two sides also conferred on producing stable isotopes, adding Russians are obliged to help Iran in building the product." http://t.uani.com/1XopQbH

Sanctions Relief

Reuters: "Iran is dramatically increasing its natural gas export capacity in preparation for the lifting of international sanctions, President Hassan Rouhani said on Monday, as he courted foreign investment in the sector during a summit meeting in Tehran. Addressing Russian President Vladimir Putin and leaders of seven other countries including Algeria, Nigeria and Venezuela, Rouhani told the Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF) that Iran was seeking international partnerships to develop its vast oil and gas reserves. 'I invite the leaders of the countries in this group to partner with Iran and invest in developing Iran's gas resources for mutual benefit,' he said. 'Iran is ready to play a bigger role in the supply of gas.' The Tehran meeting of the GECF - which also includes Bolivia, Egypt, Equatorial Guinea, Libya and the United Arab Emirates - comes a week before Iran is due to unveil model contracts for future oil and gas development... Iran's gas production more than doubled over a decade to 160.5 billion cubic metres in 2012, before the latest sanctions took full effect, and Rouhani said capacity would surge to more than 1 trillion cubic metres in another two years. 'The preparatory stages have been completed by the government so that the needed investments will be made,' he said. 'We believe that the situation will rapidly change with the recent agreements between Iran and the P5+1.'" http://t.uani.com/1PM5zOk

Reuters: "Poland's state-run gas distributor PGNiG is looking at various options in oil and gas exploration and production in Iran once sanctions on the country are lifted, PGNiG's CEO said. 'We are interested in the Iranian market (...) and we are considering various business configurations there. We have an office in Iran and are at the stage of examining that market,' Mariusz Zawisza said in an interview. He reiterated that PGNiG was considering buying production assets in Norway, the United States and Canada that would help it boost own oil and gas output." http://t.uani.com/1YrKzOd

Free Beacon: "An Italian company penalized for aiding Iran in evading U.S. sanctions has been de-listed by the Obama administration, prompting criticism from experts who believe the United States is caving to the Islamic Republic's demands before it upholds its end of the recent nuclear deal, according to information provided by the Treasury and State Departments. The Obama administration announced the removal of sanctions on Dettin Spa on Nov. 19. The announcement came as President Hassan Rouhani was scheduled to visit Italy over the weekend. The trip was canceled following terrorist attacks in France. Dettin Spa, a textile and chemical company that still has a presence in Iran, was sanctioned by the United States in August 2014 for 'knowingly providing Iran's petrochemical industry with goods and support whose value exceeded $250,000,' according to a statement issued by the Treasury Department at the time. 'Individuals and companies providing support to illicit Iranian nuclear activities program or engaged in assisting Iran's efforts to evade U.S. sanctions will face serious consequences,' the Obama administration warned when it announced the company's designation as a result of the sanctions-busting scheme... The United States first designated Dettin Spa during a period of negotiations with Tehran over the nuclear deal. The administration sanctioned the company for helping Iran expand its petrochemical industry beyond what was permissible under an interim agreement struck by Iran and world powers. The company was de-listed from the sanctions rolls last week... Iran and Italy have made moves to boost their trade ties in the months since the nuclear deal was announced." http://t.uani.com/1Oq8Dwf

Mehr (Iran): "Announcing President Rouhani's upcoming trip to Rome in a month, president of Iran-Italy joint chamber of commerce said 1000 Italian companies will soon visit Iran in the form of 3 trade delegations. Ahmad Pourfallah described the plans for 1000 Italian firms to enter Iran in the near future; 'the 1000 companies will arrive in Iran in the form of three trade delegations, the first of which consisting of 300 prominent Italian companies will visit Iran on November 29-30,' he noted. 'All the companies were supposed to visit Iran as part of one integrated delegation but it was later decided they enter the country in three different delegations till the end of the current Iranian calendar year in order to conduct technical meetings with Iranian companies in various fields,' he added. He further asserted that, 'the first trade delegation from Italy will travel to Iran next week to hold meetings on several issues including mechanics, automotive, environment, renewable energy, medicine, stone, construction equipment, excavator industry, tile making, mining, metals as well as pipes and fittings.'" http://t.uani.com/1Nq6Lqh

Tehran Times: "The Netherlands' Minister of Economic Affairs Henk Kamp arrived in Tehran yesterday on the head of a large Dutch trade delegation to investigate new business opportunities in post-sanctions Iran. Over 60 large Dutch companies active in the energy and agriculture sectors are accompanying Kamp in his trip, according to the IRNA news agency. The Dutch minister is secluded to meet his Iranian counterpart as well as the other Iranian officials and also attend the third summit meeting of the Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF) which will be held today in Tehran. A new chapter has opened in the political and economic ties between Iran and the Netherlands after Iran's nuclear deal with the world's major powers. Dutch Foreign Minister Bert Koenders in a meeting with his Iranian counterpart Mohammad Javad Zarif in Tehran on September 20 mentioned agriculture, ecotourism and industry as a few areas that his country is seeking to cooperate closely with post-sanctions Iran. The top diplomat also said that the Netherlands is committed to broaden political, economic and cultural relations with Iran, particularity in the area of gas and oil." http://t.uani.com/1ShQWQH


JTA: "The newly elected president of Argentina said he will cancel the agreement signed with Iran to jointly investigate the 1994 attack on the AMIA Jewish center in Buenos Aires, as he vowed during the campaign. 'We will propose to the Congress to cancel the pact with Iran as we promised in the campaign,' Mauricio Macri said Monday morning in his first news conference after being elected in a runoff vote the previous day. Macri, the opposition candidate, will take office on Dec. 10. He won the runoff with 51.4 percent of the vote, defeating Daniel Scioli, a close ally of President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner, who garnered 48.6 percent, according to the final results released Monday. The agreement has been criticized by Israel and Argentina's Jews, among others. Iran has been accused of being behind the AMIA bombing, which killed 85 and injured hundreds." http://t.uani.com/1lHix3t

Opinion & Analysis

WashPost Editorial: "The fraudulence of Iran's prosecution of The Post's Jason Rezaian is perfectly captured by the public statements of Gholam Hossein Mohseni-Ejei, the first deputy chief justice of the judiciary, who frequently holds news conferences in Tehran. Last July, Mr. Mohseni-Ejei was asked about the status of Mr. Rezaian's trial, which was being held behind closed doors. 'The trial will continue and when the verdict is issued we will announce it to people,' he said. Mr. Rezaian's trial apparently ended Aug. 10. But to this day, no official verdict has been announced or communicated even to the U.S. journalist's lawyer. Nor has a sentence been made public. Instead, Mr. Rezaian's family has had to contend with confusing and contradictory statements by Mr. Mohseni-Ejei and other officials, which together demonstrate that nothing resembling a legitimate process - even under Iran's laws - has taken place. For example, on Aug. 9, the day before Mr. Rezaian's final known court appearance, the semiofficial Iranian Students' News Agency (ISNA) quoted Mr. Mohseni-Ejei as saying that 'this person has already been sentenced, but I don't know the details of the verdict.' Six days later, he changed his story: The same news agency quoted Mr. Mohseni-Ejei as saying the court was still waiting for a written plea from Mr. Rezaian's attorney. 'I'm not allowed to give any details, but I assume that a judgment will be issued at the end of this week or next,' he said. Meanwhile, another judicial official, Gholam Hossein Esmaeili, was quoted the same day by the same agency as saying that no verdict was expected anytime soon. On Aug. 30, Mr. Mohseni-Ejei offered a third account: He didn't know whether a verdict in the Rezaian case had been reached. 'But the final session took place two weeks ago,' he offered. On Oct. 11, Mr. Mohseni-Ejei told reporters that a verdict had been 'issued' but didn't say what it was. Other Iranian reports said Mr. Rezaian had been convicted on charges of espionage. That, however, wasn't the end of it. On Nov. 3, ISNA spoke again to Mr. Esmaeili, who said the case was not completed, and that a new hearing was scheduled for Nov. 16. 'This case is still in court and the judiciary's spokesman' - that would presumably be Mr. Mohseni-Ejei - 'will make an announcement once it has come to a conclusion,' Mr. Esmaeili was quoted as saying. Nov. 16 came and went. But on Sunday, Mr. Mohseni-Ejei once again said that Mr. Rezaian had been 'sentenced to prison ,' the same account he had offered on Aug. 9. He added that the verdict 'has not officially been handed down' and was 'not finalized.' Meanwhile, Mr. Rezaian's lawyer, Leila Ahsan, told the Associated Press she had not been informed about a verdict or a sentence. What could explain this welter of misinformation? Possibly Mr. Rezaian is being dangled by the regime as bait for a prisoner exchange. Maybe he is a pawn in a power struggle between the hard-line judiciary and the government of President Hassan Rouhani. We don't pretend to know. What ought to be clear is that Iran is subjecting an American citizen and respected journalist to extraordinarily cruel and arbitrary treatment - and that it is doing so with impunity." http://t.uani.com/1N5Shp4

NYT Editorial:
"Authorities in Iran announced on Sunday that the American journalist Jason Rezaian, a Washington Post reporter held by the government for 16 months and charged with espionage, had been sentenced to prison. The Iranian government made the announcement with as much transparency as it has shown in this case all along: none. A press report, which was corroborated by a spokesman for the country's judiciary, said Mr. Rezaian had been sentenced to an undisclosed period of time following his conviction, which was announced in October. Mr. Rezaian faced four charges, including espionage, but the authorities have not provided details about the verdict, which was handed down behind closed doors. Preposterously, as of Sunday, it appeared that neither Mr. Rezaian nor his lawyer, Leila Ahsan, had been told how long the sentence would be. The prosecution of Mr. Rezaian, a well-respected journalist of Iranian ancestry with dual citizenship, has been a travesty since he and his wife were detained in July 2014. The authorities have failed to present a shred of credible evidence that Mr. Rezaian broke any law and they have deprived him of due process. Recent suggestions by senior Iranian officials that he could be swapped for people imprisoned for violating sanctions against Iran strongly suggest that the case against him was a farce all along. 'Even after keeping Jason in prison 487 days so far, Iran has produced no evidence of wrongdoing,' Douglas Jehl, The Washington Post's foreign editor, said in a statement on Sunday. 'His trial and sentence are a sham, and he should be released immediately.' By detaining him arbitrarily, Iran is sending a troubling message to the international community as it starts carrying out the landmark deal it reached with world powers over the future of its nuclear program. Western officials hoped that the nuclear agreement would usher in a new era of broader cooperation with Iran. But as they begin taking steps to ease economic sanctions on Iran, as called for in the deal, the treatment of Mr. Rezaian has intensified their concerns about whether Iran can be trusted to fulfill its nuclear commitments." http://t.uani.com/1lHiO6o

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

CAIR's Identity Problem

Steven Emerson, Executive Director
November 24, 2015

CAIR's Identity Problem

by Pete Hoekstra  •  Nov 24, 2015 at 1:40 pm
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The Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) styles itself as America's largest Muslim civil rights advocacy group. Its executive director, Nihad Awad, recently took advantage of a reporter's inflammatory article on a likely miscommunication with a presidential candidate to tweet to his English audience, "Exactly what #ISIS wants: #DonaldTrump's recent call to force American Muslims to carry special ID."
Moments later, Awad more directly reflected CAIR's real status as a front for the radical Islamist Muslim Brotherhood when in Arabic he expanded upon those comments to compare the U.S. to Nazi Germany. The IPT translated the comments:
"It actually happened. The Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump is calling for forcing American Muslims to carry ID's classifying them on the basis of their religion. Exactly like Hitler did."
A Saudi tweeter noted that "The Arabic is completely different in meaning and has a big racist and religious sense."
Readers can determine for themselves whether members of the media distorted Trump's response to the reporter's questioning, as the Investigative Project on Terrorism takes no position because it is unclear.
The debate will sort itself out, but Trump's comments are not the real issue. CAIR is not some benign petitioner for the grievances of Muslims.
Its Florida chapter is holding three annual conferences just this month for the year 2015. The first, held in Orlando, featured a Hamas-linked, Chicago-based imam, Kifah Mustapha. The second, held in Tampa, featured a racist comedian, a U.S.-named co-conspirator for a terror trial and an Islamist who has threatened the wrath of God on world leaders, Frontpage Magazine reports.
CAIR, which was involved in the largest terrorism financing prosecution in U.S history as an unindicted co-conspirator, bills itself as a humble advocacy organization when it seeks support among an English audience.
Then, at times within minutes of posting comments designed to elicit sympathy, it illuminates its ingrained radical tendencies by casting the ugliest of aspersions on Western politicians to antagonize its Arabic constituency.
It never takes much for CAIR to reveal its original and true mission.
Pete Hoekstra represented Michigan for 18 years in Congress, including as chairman of the U.S. House Intelligence Committee. He currently serves as the Shillman senior fellow at the Investigative Project on Terrorism, and is the author of "Architects of Disaster: The Destruction of Libya."
The IPT accepts no funding from outside the United States, or from any governmental agency or political or religious institutions. Your support of The Investigative Project on Terrorism is critical in winning a battle we cannot afford to lose. All donations are tax-deductible. Click here to donate online. The Investigative Project on Terrorism Foundation is a recognized 501(c)3 organization.  

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Imposing Our Idea of Order in Mideast Doesn't Work

Steven Emerson, Executive Director
November 24, 2015

Imposing Our Idea of Order in Mideast Doesn't Work

by Pete Hoekstra
November 24, 2015
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Western Europe has been redefining the nation state since 1945 when it formed the European Union following World War II.
The simple concept of six sovereign countries focused on a minor range of economic and defense issues has expanded to 28 countries with the Euro serving as the common currency for most of them.
The Eurozone allows for the largely unimpeded movement of people, goods, services and capital across borders. It has also resulted in unprecedented cooperation on crime, security and finance among its members.
If the model succeeded there, can it apply to some of the most troubled areas of the world such as the Middle East and northern Africa?
Probably not.
In fact, their history contains plenty of evidence that compulsory European ideals and standards of governance are part of the deep-rooted problems rather than a solution.
Iraq, Syria, Libya, and other territories with significant instability and chaos may present the perfect opportunities, however, to start rethinking the entire premise of the nation state.
The genocidal ISIS campaign has effectively reshaped long-recognized borders in the region as it seeks to expand its caliphate. The civilized world is committed to defeating the brutal terrorist organization, but nobody has a plan for what happens next.
It is almost impossible for Iraq, Syria, and Libya to ever again exist as they have since after World War I. The French, British and Italians created the three countries with arbitrary, unnatural boundaries that split ethnic groups and attempted to impose a framework of Western governance.
The formula largely failed. Only ruthless strongman dictators like Saddam Hussein, Bashar al-Assad and Moammar Gadhafi could hold them together.
Now that they are no longer functioning states — and it is highly unlikely that they can, will or should reemerge in the manner that they existed before — all stakeholders can become more creative about how to move them forward.
Let's begin with Iraq and Syria and help them to foster new models of governance and cooperation.
It has become painfully obvious that Iraq cannot function autonomously with a centralized power controlled by any one political or religious faction.
Perhaps Iraq and Syria could implement an overarching civilian directorate with rotating leadership among the Sunnis, Shiites and Kurds. It would monitor and distribute oil revenues to three super-autonomous regional executives with their own militaries.
A more federalized administration with strong "satellite" tribes would pose an unusual but potentially effective structure. Who would have thought in 1945 that much of Europe would allow free movement across borders, create a central government and have nearly all of its countries using the same money?
Libya is a different animal all together. It has existed with various leaders pressured by world powers throughout its history. Its devolution after the disastrous 2011 NATO/U.S. intervention continues with competing groups fighting for authority and no party gaining majority support.
The country desperately needs a strong, transparent governing coalition to emerge that can manage the competing tribal factions, possibly by granting them their own degree of sovereignty. The West can help to facilitate — but by no means direct — such a transition.
Who knows how they all might evolve? What we do know is that the past and current structures are unsustainable and dangerous.
Europe and the United States can advise and assist but stop trying to impose its governing models on them. It didn't work after World War I and it hasn't worked more recently in Iraq, Libya, or Afghanistan. All three have failed miserably.
The cultures, educational attainment, and capacity for economic freedom can enable them to become flourishing communities, but to believe it can only occur under western styles of democracy is naïve and arrogant.
World leaders need to approach the problems in the Middle East and northern Africa with imaginative ideas such as those that created the EU.
Forcing square pegs into round holes has not succeeded. The conditions in post-World War II Europe that allowed for the unprecedented template for interaction cannot and will not apply to those whose tribal mindsets and religious beliefs dominate modern politics.
Europe and the United States are better off extending a helping hand to those who know best rather than dictating to them an unfamiliar future.
Pete Hoekstra is a Shillman senior fellow at the Investigative Project on Terrorism. He represented Michigan for 18 years in Congress, including time as chairman of the U.S. House Intelligence Committee. He is the author of "Architects of Disaster: The Destruction of Libya." For more of his reports, Go Here Now.
Related Topics: Pete Hoekstra
The IPT accepts no funding from outside the United States, or from any governmental agency or political or religious institutions. Your support of The Investigative Project on Terrorism is critical in winning a battle we cannot afford to lose. All donations are tax-deductible. Click here to donate online. The Investigative Project on Terrorism Foundation is a recognized 501(c)3 organization.  

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The Long War Journal (Site-Wide)

The Long War Journal (Site-Wide)

Posted: 24 Nov 2015 09:01 AM PST
The Muaskar ul Fida is likely loyal to the Haqqani Network, an al Qaeda-linked Taliban group that is backed by Pakistan's military and intelligence establishment.
Posted: 24 Nov 2015 06:51 AM PST
The Islamic State's Sinai "province" claimed responsibility for a bombing at a hotel in the Sinai earlier today. The group continues to run a prolific insurgency and has proven it is capable of committing mass casualty terrorist attacks against civilians as well.
Posted: 23 Nov 2015 05:49 PM PST
Iranian-backed Shia militias are fighting for Assad in Aleppo as regime forces, backed by Hezbollah and Russian airstrikes, try to push back jihadists and rebels in the northern province.