Wednesday, July 25, 2012

Eye on Iran: Defiant Iran Ups Uranium Enrichment






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AFP: "Iran is defiantly forging on with its controversial nuclear activities by activating hundreds more uranium enrichment centrifuges, according to President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. 'There are currently 11,000 centrifuges active in enrichment facilities' in Iran, he was quoted by state media as saying late on Tuesday in a meeting with supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and senior regime officials. That was more than the 10,000 centrifuges Iran was last said to have had operating, according to a May 25 report by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Ahmadinejad's reported comments did not give a more precise figure nor detail how many centrifuges were now working at each of Iran's two enrichment sites: Natanz and the heavily fortified underground bunker of Fordo." http://t.uani.com/NuJpR8

AFP: "Iran's main automobile company, Iran Khodro, says it is coping with a decision early this year by troubled French car maker Peugeot to halt exports of vehicle kits for assembly, according to reports on Wednesday. 'Iran Khodro has managed to become self-sufficient in producing 90 percent of the parts for the (popular Peugeot model) 206, and an effort is being made to use local suppliers for parts that were previously imported,' company director general Hossein Najari was quoted as saying. Peugeot's parent company PSA Peugeot Citroen in February suspended its sales of car assembly kits to Iran, which had been its top export market in terms of trade volume up to then. The decision appeared to be tied to Peugeot's alliance with U.S. group General Motors, and U.S. sanctions pressure on Iran over its disputed nuclear activities. The United Against Nuclear Iran group, an influential US anti-Iran lobby group, says Iran Khodro is affiliated with Iran's Revolutionary Guards, which are subject to specific US sanctions." http://t.uani.com/PkUdji

Free Beacon: "The insurance industry and prominent Democratic lawmakers are attempting to water down a new Iran sanctions bill that would penalize any company that underwrites Iranian affiliates, according to insiders on Capitol Hill. Sens. Harry Reid (D., Nev.), Tim Johnson (D., S.D.), and others have quietly lobbied to weaken the revamped sanctions language, which has been circulating on Capitol Hill for several months. The legislation, which is currently working its way through the House, would tighten existing Iran sanctions by punishing any insurance company that underwrites activities that bolster the Iranian oil industry. Insurance providers could be sanctioned for underwriting shipping companies, cargo carriers, or airlines that have been subject to sanctions... 'If these insurers would stop providing that coverage that companies have to support these risks [of dealing with Iran] on their own,' explained Nathan Carleton, spokesperson for United Against Nuclear Iran, a nonpartisan advocacy group. 'No one should be insuring business with Iran, and if these companies are lobbying to stop these sanctions we would oppose it because it's not right.'" http://t.uani.com/QDxCRe
Lebanon Banking Campaign   
Nuclear Program 

Bloomberg: "Iran's nuclear facilities have suffered a cyber attack that shut down computers and played music from the rock band AC/DC, the F-Secure Security Labs website said. A new worm has targeted Iran's nuclear program, shutting down the 'automation network' at the Natanz and Fordo facilities, the Internet security site reported, citing an e- mail it said was sent by a scientist inside Iran's Atomic Energy Organization. The virus also prompted several of the computers on site to play the song 'Thunderstruck' by AC/DC at full volume in the middle of the night, according to the e-mail, part of which is published in English on the website." http://t.uani.com/MHQ7Q5

Reuters: "The United States will face a 'teeth-breaking' response if it continues to carry out cyber attacks against Iran, an Iranian official said on Wednesday. Iran has previously accused the United States and its allies of trying to sabotage its disputed nuclear program by using computer worms like Stuxnet, which caused centrifuges at the country's main enrichment facility to fail in 2010. 'If the Americans' futile cyber attacks do not stop, it will face a teeth-breaking response,' the Iranian Students' News agency quoted an unnamed cyber security official as saying. He gave no further details." http://t.uani.com/NTmm15  

Sanctions
  
Reuters: "Iran's supreme leader urged his country's politicians to show more unity as he warned the West that sanctions imposed over Tehran's disputed nuclear programme would only make the government more determined to pursue it, Iranian media reported... 'The reality is that there are problems, however you must not blame them on this or that party,' Khamenei was quoted as saying by Fars News Agency, in a meeting with officials late on Tuesday. 'Instead you must solve those problems with unity.'" http://t.uani.com/NuJF2z

AP: "Western-led sanctions and diplomatic pressure will not force Iran to halt its nuclear program, Iran's Supreme Leader said Wednesday. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who has the final say on all state matters in Iran, voiced confidence that the Islamic Republic can beat the latest punitive measures aimed at blocking the country's vital oil and banking industries over the disputed program. 'They (the West) explicitly say they need to increase pressures, tighten sanctions to force Iranian authorities to reconsider their calculations,' Khamenei said in comments broadcast on state television. 'But a look at the facts leads us not only to avoid reconsidering our calculations, but to move on our intended path with greater confidence.'" http://t.uani.com/MGSsN4

AP: "A shipping company backed by the governments of India and Iran says it will close because of anti-Iran sanctions. The Shipping Corp. of India, which holds a 49 percent stake in the Irano Hind Shipping Co., says sanctions have made it too difficult to deploy its vessels. Shipping Corp. managing director S. Hajara says Irano Hind will cease operation and its fleet will be split between his company and the Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines, which holds the remaining stake. He says the decision was made at an Irano Hind board meeting last week and must be approved by the two governments and the United Nations." http://t.uani.com/NJxw7g

Reuters: "A preliminary U.S. assessment has concluded that the U.N.'s World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) did not violate U.N. sanctions when it sent technical equipment to North Korea and Iran, the State Department said on Tuesday.As two senior U.S. lawmakers accused the Geneva-based agency of stonewalling a U.S. probe into the transfers, the State Department indicated it was satisfied with WIPO's cooperation on the issue. 'Our own preliminary assessment - but we are still seeking more information from WIPO - is that there doesn't appear to have been a violation of U.N. sanctions,' department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland told a news briefing." http://t.uani.com/MWkReK

JPost: "Any corporation doing business with Iran, directly or indirectly, will face sanctions, according to a law passed by the Knesset on Monday. The bill passed its third and final reading with 47 in favor and three opposed. 'We need to work so these sanctions have a chance to fulfill their goal, so we can avoid using force against Iran,' Knesset Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee chairman Ronnie Bar-On (Kadima) said in the plenum." http://t.uani.com/PlcXPy

Terrorism

The Star: "A vessel suspected to have shipped into Kenya the powder making explosive-Cyclotrimethylene Trinitramine is expected to dock at the port of Mombasa anytime this week, again. The MV Padriz has also been at the centre of possible US sanctions over Iran-owned vessels, which are said to be re-flagged to mask their ownership. Sources confirmed to the Star that the vessel has so far made 23 calls to the port of Mombasa, on a monthly basis, and it was during one of those calls that the vessel was carrying the RDX, which has been linked to the two Iranians facing terrorism charges,  Ahmad Mohammed and Sayed Mousavi The Star recently reported that the manifest of MV Padriz apparently confirmed that six security officers and another nine crew members were on board the vessel, which was carrying about 200 containers when it last docked at the port with the explosives." http://t.uani.com/LNIa9O

NYT: "An 'exceptionally experienced' group of conspirators spent up to a month in Bulgaria before carrying out the suicide bombing last week that killed five Israeli tourists and a local bus driver, the prime minister said Tuesday... Israeli officials said that the bombing was the work of Hezbollah operatives backed by Iran. Privately, two American officials said on Tuesday that the Shiite movement Hezbollah was responsible for the bombing based on classified 'sources and methods' - typically a reference to electronic intercepts and information from spies on the ground." http://t.uani.com/QDNnrc

Domestic Politics

Daily Telegraph: "Iran is to offer university degrees in how to be a prison warden in a move aimed at controlling the country's bulging number of inmates. The four-year BA courses are due to start in the autumn at two higher educational colleges run by the Iranian prison service. Their introduction offers an insight into the theocratic regime's priorities at a time when large numbers of political prisoners are being held and some prisons are packed to six times their capacity, according to Iran's prison's chief, Gholamhossein Esmaili, who has said there are 220,000 inmates nationwide." http://t.uani.com/STMKZi

Foreign Affairs

Bloomberg: "Israeli media misquoted comments from the general secretary of Iran's Olympic committee, saying Iranian athletes will compete alongside Israelis at the London 2012 Olympics, the state-run Fars news agency reported. The Israeli media 'maliciously changed Bahram Afsharzadeh's words and sought to project comments from the general secretary of Iran's Olympic committee as they like,' the report said. 'Afsharzadeh responded to journalists in the Olympic village, saying Iran respects the spirit of sports and Iranian sportsmen would not boycott matches because of the nationality of most participants,' Fars said, adding that Afsharzadeh hadn't named Israel." http://t.uani.com/N28ZXX

AP: "A semi-official Iranian news agency says police hope to work with Facebook to fight cyber-crimes and pornography - a turnabout in Tehran's stance toward the social networking giant that it previously banned after activists used it as an organizing tool. A Tuesday report by ISNA quotes Gen. Kamal Hadianfar, head of Iran's cyber-police, as saying the country is trying to remove pages on Facebook created by Iranian citizens that promote pornography and prostitution. Gen. Hadianfar said the plan would be made possible by cooperation from Facebook. He did not elaborate." http://t.uani.com/Q2nLQ7

Opinion & Analysis

Olli Heinonen in the Harvard Belfer Center: "After the announcement by the deputy chief of the Iranian navy that it is considering nuclear propulsion for its submarines, actions have proceeded swiftly. A bill in the Iranian Parliament (Majlis) Committee was approved, and debate in Majlis is to follow in coming days, parallel to the next round of the P5+1 talks with Iran in Istanbul. The Majlis debate brought to the arena additional aspects of the Iranian plans: the use of nuclear propulsion for oil tankers and possible use of uranium with higher enrichment. There is speculation that nuclear propulsion will be used as a bargaining chip to trade away or as (eventual) justification for continuing uranium enrichment and get to higher enrichment. Some have raised questions about Iran's proclamations and its actual capacity to develop nuclear submarines. At the on-going negotiating track, the issue of nuclear powered vessels was not mentioned in the paper distributed by Iran at the recent Moscow and Istanbul talks. (What else is in the pipeline that has not been mentioned?) The issue gets more complicated, since non-nuclear-weapon states are allowed to remove from IAEA safeguards nuclear material intended for non-proscribed military use, such as fuel for nuclear submarines, under arrangements to be agreed with the IAEA. Since the 1940's, about 500 vessels with nuclear propulsion have been built. Most are nuclear powered submarines that belong to nuclear weapons states. The majority of nuclear powered vessels at sea are also military, such as aircraft carriers. Only a few countries have constructed merchant vessels with nuclear reactors. Most of the civilian nuclear vessels are in Russia, which uses nuclear powered icebreakers in the Arctic regions. Currently Brazil and Argentina are the only non-nuclear weapons states with plans to build nuclear powered submarines. Canada had plans in the 1980's to acquire such vessels to guard its vast Arctic waterways, but gave them up not least for cost reasons. Traditionally, fuel for naval reactors use highly enriched uranium (HEU) to reduce reactor size. For example, American submarines use HEU fuel of up to 97 % and Russian icebreakers' are up to 75 %. There have been some exceptions. Low enriched uranium (LEU) fuel has been introduced in submarines in France. The 'caramel' LEU fuel used in French submarines is known to be around 7.5 %, which enables enrichment and manufacturing at its civilian plants. Brazil's planned nuclear submarine is also foreseen to use LEU fuel. Merchant ships such as the USS Savannah (US), Otto Hahn (Germany), and Mutsu (Japan) used LEU fuel, but they no longer exist. Nuclear reactors in vessels are also complex, costly and varied. The design of submarine and surface vessel reactors differ from each other. With a few exceptions, naval reactors have been pressurized water reactors (PWRs). Built to withstand a rough sea environment, long refueling intervals, and compact in size, naval reactors are being built to much more rigorous standards than other PWRs. Due to design constraints, only one third of the energy produced is used for propulsion. The sizes of reactors also vary, the largest being 200 MWt and smaller ones about 50 MWt. So what should we be looking out for in the case of Iran?" http://t.uani.com/Pljj1u

Afshon Ostovar in FP: "The bombing that killed five Israeli tourists in Bulgaria last week has once against cast a spotlight on Iran and its links to terrorism. Although they have presented no public evidence, Israeli and U.S. officials have implicated the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah, and by extension, its patron Iran in the attack (Iran has denied any involvement). Outside of any clear link, we are left to wonder: How solid is the evidence, really? And why would Iran risk retaliation by killing Israeli tourists in Bulgaria? But Iran's connection to several foreign operations over the last year only makes the speculation more plausible. It's been a busy 12 months for the Islamic Republic. Together, the foiled assassination plot against a Saudi diplomat in the United States, bombing attempts in Georgia, India, and Thailand, as well as the arrests of Iranians in Kenya, Azerbaijan, and a possible Hezbollah operative in Cyprus, suggest that Iran's once relatively cautious approach to covert activity may be giving way to a more hot-blooded, aggressive strategy driven by Iran's hawkish military leaders. Some of these recent foreign operations have reportedly targeted Israeli diplomatic officials. But an attack on innocent civilians on European soil -- which would garner little for Iran politically, put it at risk for further retaliation and conflict, further stain its tarnished reputation, and increase its international isolation -- would seem to severely conflict with Iran's overall defensive-minded strategic interests. Because of their secretive nature, covert operations tend not to reveal too much about the individuals or powers behind them. Iran has benefited from such anonymity in the past, and has generally added another layer of credible deniability by outsourcing violent operations to non-Iranians. In occupied Iraq, for instance, although Iranian intelligence and military units were active, it was difficult to tie Iran to specific violence incidents conducted by Iraqi groups. The Feb. 14 bombings in Bangkok are a vivid exception. The explosion that tore through an apartment rented by an Iranian national, and an Iranian suspect's failed attempt to flee the scene (which culminated in him accidently blowing off his legs after throwing an explosive device at Thai police), led to the arrest of four suspected Iranian operatives, the warrants for two more, and directly linked Iran to a terrorism plot in the process. The Thai bombings came just a day after two attempted bombings against Israeli diplomats in Georgia and India, and gave credence to the perception that Iran was connected to those incidents as well. (Indian authorities later arrested an Indian journalist and issued warrants for three Iranian nationals suspected of involvement in the plot.) Assuming the bombings in Georgia, India, and Thailand -- and now possibly Bulgaria -- show a shift in Iran's behavior, what precisely is motivating this change? On the surface, it appears that Iran was attempting to target Israeli officials in neutral countries in retaliation for Israel's suspected role in murdering Iranian scientists in Iran. The sloppy nature of these failed attempts, however, and the direct involvement of Iranian nationals in at least one of them, suggests that Iran's decision to retaliate could have been rash if not poorly planned." http://t.uani.com/N2bJEt 

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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