Tuesday, July 23, 2013

Eye on Iran: Congress, Obama at Odds Over New Iran Sanctions











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AP: "Congress is considering a new series of hard-hitting Iran sanctions on everything from mining and construction to the Islamic republic's already besieged oil industry, despite concern from the Obama administration that the measures could interfere with nuclear negotiations. House and Senate bills are both advancing at a time President Barack Obama's national security team is gauging whether Iranian President-elect Hasan Rouhani is serious about halting some elements of Tehran's uranium enrichment activity. Those involved in the process said the administration wants to temper Congressional plans until Rouhani takes office in August and has an opportunity to demonstrate whether his government will offer concessions. The legislation would blacklist Iran's mining and construction sectors, effective next year, because they are seen as heavily linked to Iran's hard-line Revolutionary Guard corps. It also would commit the U.S. to the goal of ending all Iranian oil sales worldwide by 2015, targeting the regime's biggest revenue generator and prime source of money for its weapons and nuclear programs... The House's bill may pass before Congress' August recess. The Senate version won't get a vote until at least September, said Sen. Bob Menendez, D-N.J., chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and a leading advocate of tougher Iran sanctions." http://t.uani.com/15EXYqj

WSJ: "Iran has agreed to supply Iraq with natural gas in a four-year, $14.8 billion deal that offers Tehran a respite from sanctions and Iraq a needed energy source, and has already prompted concerns in Washington. The deal would double Iran's natural-gas exports and require expanded production from a gas field whose development has been hindered by international sanctions, according to a senior Iranian oil and gas official. The U.S. has asked the Iraqi government about the deal, a U.S. State Department spokeswoman said Monday. Baghdad 'has been receptive to these discussions in the past and has expressed its desire to remain compliant with U.S. sanctions,' she said. 'We would, of course, make clear the implications were any activity to be deemed as at variance with U.S. sanctions.' For Iraq, the natural-gas supplies from Iran would offer a needed fuel source, helping ease electricity shortages by feeding two power plants in a suburb of Baghdad, said Mussab al-Mudaris, a spokesman for the Iraqi ministry of electricity." http://t.uani.com/13XKWRP

Marine Log: "Greek shipowner Victor Restis now has more immediate problems than the suggestions by United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) that he has been involved in Iran sanctions busting. Mr. Restis has loudly denied the UANI charges and on July 19 filed a defamation suit against UANI and its CEO, Mark D. Wallace, in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York. Today, though, Mr. Restis's main concern will be with what happens in an Athens court. Greek media say that this morning he was arrested outside his office in a northern suburb of Athens on suspicion of money laundering and embezzlement and was expected to appear before a prosecutor later in the day... According to reports, the allegations against Mr. Restis involve €500 million in bad loans given by FBBank to companies he controlled." http://t.uani.com/18xl30y
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Nuclear Program

NYT: "Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, threw some cold water on recent efforts to reinvigorate diplomatic contacts between Iran and the United States, saying he was not optimistic that any agreement would be reached, though he does not oppose talks 'on certain issues.' At a meeting on Sunday with the departing president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and his cabinet, Mr. Khamenei said that he did not believe that direct talks with the United States would have a positive result for Iran. 'The Americans are unreliable and illogical, and are not honest in their approach,' Mr. Khamenei warned, adding that his view was based on previous talks with the United States, often conducted secretly, on issues like Iraq... Hamid-Reza Taraghi, a political activist close to Mr. Khamenei, also mentioned the embargoes. 'It is not enough for some U.S. congressmen to write a letter,' Mr. Taraghi said. 'They should start lifting sanctions. That would be a real green light for negotiations.'" http://t.uani.com/19fzXeH

Sanctions

Reuters: "India's imports of crude oil from Iran more than halved in June from a year ago, as refiner Essar Oil became the only remaining Indian client of the sanctions-hit country, tanker data obtained by Reuters showed. India's imports for June fell about 60 percent on an annual basis, pointing to imports from Iran's top four customers - China, Japan, India and South Korea - of around 860,000 barrels per day (bpd) for the month, down more than a third on the year. That would be the lowest for Iran's top four buyers since April, when big drop-offs in barrels shipped into India and Japan cut the total to 635,750 bpd, the smallest in decades... Indian imports from Iran dropped to 140,800 bpd in June, down 45 percent from May, data from trade sources on tanker arrivals shows. India's imports from Iran dropped in the first half of the year to 211,400 bpd, down more than 42 percent from the same period in 2012, according to the data." http://t.uani.com/164lNrx

Reuters: "China's daily crude oil imports from Iran fell 1.9 percent in the first half of the year from the same period in 2012, making it easier for it to stake a claim later to a waiver extension on U.S. sanctions against the Middle Eastern nation... China won a six-month waiver in June, along with other Asian importers of Iranian crude, and officials have said Chinese refiners would likely cut Iran shipments 5-10 percent this year from last. China's next waiver review is due November-December. The drop in the first-half volumes came on top of a 21 percent cut in China's purchases from Tehran in the first half of last year. A contract dispute had slashed Iranian oil shipments in the first quarter of 2012. June volumes imported from Iran were also sharply down compared with the same month last year and from May imports. 'It looks like China was getting a bit more aggressive with its cut in June in order to meet its overall target for the year,' said Victor Shum, managing director of downstream energy consulting at IHS. China, Iran's largest oil client, brought in 424,183 barrels per day (bpd) of Iranian crude in the first six months of the year, data from the General Administration of Customs showed on Monday." http://t.uani.com/14137x4

Terrorism

Reuters:
"Iran condemned on Tuesday the European Union's decision to put the armed wing of Lebanese militant group Hezbollah on its terrorism blacklist and said the move was 'contrary to all political and legal norms, surprising and unacceptable'. Hezbollah was set up with the help of Iranian funds and military advisers some three decades ago and, along with Syria, is still Tehran's most important ally in the region, positioned as it is on the 'frontline' with Iran's sworn enemy Israel. Pressed by Britain and the Netherlands, the European Union blacklisted Hezbollah's military wing on Monday over accusations it was involved in a bus bombing in Bulgaria that killed five Israelis and their driver a year ago, and its deployment of thousands of fighters to help Syrian President Bashar al-Assad turn the tide of Syria's civil war." http://t.uani.com/13AlK7S

Cyber Warfare

Free Beacon:
"Iran has also stepped up its anti-U.S. cyber campaign in response to tightening economic sanctions. 'We have seen some very, very devastating efforts on behalf of Iran,' Rogers said. Iranian government-backed hackers, for instance, have 'aggressively pursued probing actions on our U.S, financial institutions,' he said. This action is 'unabated' and ongoing. One recent attack on an unnamed U.S. financial institution cost about '$100 million to deal with,' Rogers revealed. 'That's one institution. One attack. And it's not their best work. That should make everybody sit up straighter.' There is evidence that some of these Iranian hack attacks may have been influenced or sponsored by the Russians, Rogers said. 'Some of the [Internet] signatures certainly have a hint of Muscovite in them,' he said, adding that the Iranians have made 'the calculation that this is a justified response to sanctions.'" http://t.uani.com/131Hl9V

Domestic Politics

Bloomberg: "Iran's Revolutionary Guards, the elite military corps feared for its crackdowns on internal dissent and pervasive presence in Iranian society, says it hasn't been a good communicator. Its spokesman, in rare comments about the Guards' work published today in the Shargh newspaper, wants it to do a better job trumpeting its achievements. 'I see the most important weakness of the Guards as being in the information arena,' Ramezan Sharif told the Tehran-based newspaper. 'Despite much effort, we haven't been able to present correctly the work and actions of this popular and revolutionary entity.'" http://t.uani.com/16WWua6

Opinion & Analysis

Bret Stephens in WSJ: "The history comes to mind following a speech last week by Hassan Rouhani, Iran's president-elect and reputed moderate. Addressing a group called the 'Assembly of the Pioneers for Jihad and Martyrdom,' Mr. Rouhani made an overture to Iranians living abroad who wanted to make their peace with the regime. 'Those [Iranians] who are ready to return should have the way paved for them, since repentance is for everyone,' he said, according to a report by Radio Farda. This isn't the first time a supposedly reformist president of the Islamic Republic urged the estimated three million exiled Iranians to come home. Beginning in the early 1990s, and especially after Mohammad Khatami's election as president in 1997, the regime made the same pitch. 'Today, Islamic Iran opens its arms to you,' Mr. Khatami said in a message to exiles, adding that they were needed to help rebuild the country. Promises were made that no returnee would face prison time. It's impossible to say how many exiles returned to Iran for good. But many did begin traveling back and forth from the country, often for long stints, to work or study or visit relatives. Mr. Khatami's outreach also had the effect of dividing the exile community politically between those who thought the regime could never be trusted and needed to be toppled, and those who believed in engaging it for the sake of reform. It was the latter camp that wound up having the greatest influence in the West, not least by providing intellectual cover and moral standing to U.S. and European policy makers eager to reach out to Iran and make concessions. But it was also this camp that often paid the greatest personal price for trusting the regime. Consider Ramin Jahanbegloo, a well-known Iranian philosopher and advocate of cultural dialogue. He was teaching at the University of Toronto when he decided to return to Iran in 2001 to take up an academic post. In 2006 he was imprisoned for four months on suspicion of being 'one of the key elements in the American plan for the smooth toppling of the Islamic regime,' according to the Iranian Jomhuri Eslami newspaper. Similar prison ordeals awaited Iranian expatriates such as Woodrow Wilson Center scholar Haleh Esfandiari, journalist Maziar Bahari, businessmanAli Shakeri, urban planner Kian Tajbakhsh. Far worse was the fate of Iranian-Canadian photojournalist Zahra Kazemi, who was arrested, tortured, raped and beaten to death in July 2003. Then there is Hossein Derakhshan, a left-wing blogger who in 2006 made a case in the Washington Post for Iran's acquisition of nuclear weapons. But he also visited Israel that year, writing that while it might be illegal for him to do so as an Iranian, as 'a citizen of Canada I have the right to visit any country I want.' He was arrested in Iran in 2008, held in solitary confinement and tortured. In 2010 he was sentenced by an Iranian court to 19.5 years in Tehran's infamous Evin prison. Which brings us back to Mr. Rouhani's invitation to Iranian exiles to return and repent. Last week, I asked dissident Saeed Ghasseminejad, a leader of the Iranian Liberal Students and Graduates who was jailed in Evin before coming to the U.S., how he would respond to the president-elect's offer. 'The one who should repent his sins is Mr. Rouhani himself,' Mr. Ghassaminejad wrote me in an email. 'He is part of a regime which has killed, raped and tortured thousands and expelled and displaced millions of Iranians.' It would be nice if the West could treat the arrival of yet another alleged regime reformer with the same hard-earned skepticism." http://t.uani.com/1aGpvL6

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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