Tuesday, July 16, 2013

Eye on Iran: Iran's Next President Faults Ahmadinejad on Economy











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NYT: "Iran's president-elect, Hassan Rowhani, painted a bleak picture of the country's economy on Monday, blaming the departing administration of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad for high inflation and unemployment, and saying it "has left much work to be done." Mr. Rowhani said Mr. Ahmadinejad's government had presented a far-too-optimistic picture of the economy, which even according to official statistics is stumbling. 'We asked current officials about the situation of the country,' Mr. Rowhani said, 'but their reports and those of our teams were very far from each other.' Speaking in Parliament, Mr. Rowhani said the inflation rate, officially listed as 32 percent, was 42 percent, the local news media reported. Iran's economy actually contracted during the past two years, he said, for the first time since the Iran-Iraq war in the 1980s... Mr. Rowhani's close aide Akbar Torkan, who acts as a liaison with Mr. Ahmadinejad's government, told the local news media that the economic state of the country was 'much worse than expected.'" http://t.uani.com/16Gnv1i

Reuters: "A U.N. Security Council committee is split over whether Iran's missile tests last year violated U.N. sanctions imposed on Tehran because of its nuclear and ballistic missile programs, Australia's U.N. envoy said on Monday. That division effectively rules out any expansion of sanctions against Tehran over the tests for the time being, U.N. envoys said on condition of anonymity. Diplomats said it was Russia, backed by China, that refused to declare Tehran's missile launches a violation of the U.N. restrictions, as a U.N. Panel of Experts on Iran said was the case. The rift on the Iran sanctions committee, which consists of all 15 Security Council members, highlights the difficulties Western powers face in persuading Russia and China to join them in keeping up the pressure on Tehran to halt banned nuclear and missile work." http://t.uani.com/18iMzPd

AFP: "The United States on Monday led western calls for tougher UN action on Iran's arms supplies to Syria and its Lebanese ally Hezbollah. The calls came as Russia blocked a UN panel's unanimous ruling that a ballistic missile launch by Iran was a breach of international sanctions, diplomats said. The US government called on the UN Security Council and its sanctions committee to tackle Iran's alleged breach of UN measures with 'increased vigor.' 'The committee should also address the steady of flow of Iranian arms, military support, advisors and training to groups in Syria, Lebanon, Gaza, Yemen, Iraq and beyond,' said US acting ambassador Rosemary DiCarlo. Iran has long supplied weapons to President Bashar al-Assad's government 'knowing they would be used to massacre the Syrian people,' DiCarlo told a Security Council meeting. The seizure of Iranian arms off the Yemen coast in January 'was more than just a sanctions violation, it was an aggressive act to undermine Yemen's transition,' said the US envoy." http://t.uani.com/12GwjBY
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AP: "Iran's foreign ministry is saying Israel's prime minister seeks to damage relations between Iran and the world, referring to the Jewish state as 'a warmonger regime.' The Tuesday remarks by ministry spokesman Abbas Araghchi come two days after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu urged the world to step up pressure on Tehran to halt its disputed nuclear program with tougher sanctions and threats of military action. Araghchi said Iran views Israel as 'angry' about moderate Hasan Rouhani's victory in June presidential elections, claiming that Israel appears concerned the world will ease pressure in order to engage the Islamic Republic's next president." http://t.uani.com/12tUnZQ

Domestic Politics

AP: "Mock condolences arriving by text message in Iran announce the political 'death' of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Memorial services, the joke continues, are planned at the United Nations in tribute to his swaggering style each year in New York. The satire may bring smirks from the many foes Ahmadinejad has racked up over eight years in office, stemming from several high-profile feuds with the ruling clerics and one disputed re-election. But no one is truly counting Ahmadinejad out of Iran's political future, which could face some bumpy times as he decides his next moves and his opponents plot possible payback. One way or another, the combative and polarizing aura of the soon-to-be former president is not going to dissipate once his centrist successor, Hasan Rouhani, is sworn in Aug. 4." http://t.uani.com/15JZI3y

Opinion & Analysis

Justyna Pawlak in Reuters: "In the years-long campaign to tie a web of sanctions around Iran and stall its nuclear program, the European Union may just have met its biggest obstacle: its own law courts. Fearing Tehran is seeking the means to make bombs, Europe's governments have been combing through Iran's political elites and businesses to find people and companies linked to the financing and technical aspects of its nuclear work. They have frozen their assets, refused visas and banned companies in the European Union from doing business with them. But dozens of those targeted have challenged the restrictions in court and some are beginning to win, embarrassing Europe's policymakers and causing alarm in the United States. None of the court judgments are yet final. But with Israel brandishing threats against a nuclear program that Iran insists has no military purpose, Washington worries that any weakening of sanctions may raise the risk of war. At the heart of the issue is the refusal by EU governments to disclose evidence linking their targets to Iran's nuclear work. Doing so in court, they say, may expose confidential intelligence, undermining efforts to combat the program. The courts have effectively rejected that argument, saying that if a case is to be made, evidence must be presented. Lawyers for the Iranians argue there simply is no evidence that proves any link to the nuclear program - a view supported by British judges who did review some secret material this year. 'It is very clear there is no evidence,' said Sarosh Zaiwalla, senior partner at Zaiwalla & Co, a London law firm which has successfully represented Iran's Bank Mellat in litigation against sanctions imposed by the EU. The bank, one of the biggest private lenders in Iran, won a case in January in the European Union's Luxembourg-based second-highest court. It had challenged an EU move in 2010 to freeze its assets, saying the EU had failed to prove the bank provided banking services for the nuclear program. The court agreed... The lifting of sanctions against Bank Mellat is postponed for now, pending an appeal by EU governments to Europe's highest court. But the case illustrates the dilemma facing the European Union in its push to stop Iran from advancing the atom work. Government lawyers are telling the courts to trust them and the courts are refusing. To safeguard its sanctions policy and its economic pressure on Iran, the EU may have to present evidence - including sensitive intelligence - in court. But because of rules governing pan-European courts, all evidence would then become public which may damage clandestine operations and unravel the process of devising sanctions. 'There is nothing in the current rules to enable us to consider sharing information without it becoming public,' said one European diplomat, speaking on condition of anonymity. 'This is the crux of the issue. We cannot just be handing information around.' In Washington, anxiety over court rulings is mounting. 'It's a real concern of ours that the EU is having difficulties sustaining some of its designations,' David Cohen, the U.S. Treasury Department's Under Secretary for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence, told Reuters... While the net of sanctions may have only been cut in a few places at this stage, dozens of other cases are in the pipeline. The concern among EU officials is that if a few more knots are untied, the entire sanctions netting could start to unravel. That may have consequences for security in the Middle East, especially if it allows Iran to step up its nuclear program." http://t.uani.com/15BTkZQ

David Albright & Christina Walrond in ISIS: "Iran does not need to operate the Arak reactor and doing so would heighten concerns that Iran aims to build nuclear weapons. Its operation would needlessly complicate negotiations and increase the risk of military strikes. As a result, Iran should delay the reactor's fueling and operation. Delay may be inevitable given the large amount of work still required to finish the reactor and fuel it." http://t.uani.com/1bkicM4

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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