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In this mailing:
Iran Leads at Halftime; Game Over?
by Shoshana Bryen
• October 31, 2014 at 5:00 am
The
relevant UN Resolution, as well as the Congressional sanctions bill, says the
acceptable level of enrichment is none at all. The administration is, in
fact, negotiating a level. This track means the total erasure of all
international sanctions.
All of the
steps Iran took are reversible. Iran's "expressed desires" should
not be the driver of U.S. policy.
The
Coach-in Chief, President Obama, appears to believe the West and Iran are on
the same team looking for a negotiated tie. The Iranians, however, are looking
for nuclear weapons.
In the run up to November's P5+1 talks, Iran has already won the battles
that count; remember, this is the bazaar. After last year's unsatisfactory
interim agreement, this author wrote:
A deal that is not a capitulation requires two conditions: the parties
must equally value the process; and there has to be a compatible endgame. The
West invested the process with much more value than did Iran, providing the
mullahs with instant leverage, but most important, there was no agreed-upon
end game.
The P5+1 wanted to negotiate the terms of Iran's nuclear surrender; Iran
was negotiating the conditions under which it will operate its nuclear
program.
Erdogan's Book of Defeat
by Burak Bekdil
• October 31, 2014 at 4:00 am
In the
entire Middle East, Turkey now has only two allies: Qatar, which looks more
like a rich, family-owned gas station than a state; and Hamas, a terrorist
organization.
Tunisia
was the final chapter in Erdogan's book of defeat. Neo-Ottomanism was a
childish dream. It is, now, a "sealed" childish dream.
Shortly after the Arab Spring rocked several capitals in the Middle
East, the Turks devised a plan that would enable their country to emerge as
the new Ottoman Empire. While deliberately and systematically antagonizing
Israel, Ankara would: replace the Shia-controlled Syrian regime of Bashar
al-Assad with a Turkey-friendly Sunni ruler; support the Sunni in Iraq and
Lebanon and boost their political influence; support Hamas in the Palestinian
territories and provoke it to violence against Israel; and make sure that the
Muslim Brotherhood or their various brethren rule Egypt, Tunisia and Libya.
Saudis were already "our Muslim brothers." Eventually, all former Ottoman
lands would produce governments subservient to the emerging Turkish Empire.
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