Thursday, February 12, 2015

Eye on Iran: European Business Bodies Form Alliance for Iran Gold Rush








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WSJ: "As talks progress between Iran and six world powers over Tehran's controversial nuclear program, multinational companies are beginning to prepare for an eventual lifting of sanctions against the Islamic Republic. But despite the thaw at the political level, European companies feel impeded in trading with Iran, in part because many banks refuse to handle their payments. The companies fear their American rivals will be able to move first once sanctions are lifted. In an effort to level the playing field, three European business bodies - the Iranian chambers of commerce of France, Germany and the U.K. - have formed an alliance to facilitate business between Iran and the European Union... So the Iranian chambers of commerce have formed a European-Iranian Business Alliance, showing a united front to seize the opportunity offered by the oil-rich nation... Nigel Kushner, a director of BICC and the chief executive of W Legal Ltd., a law firm that specializes in sanctions, adds: 'I am already seeing a rush to market by U.S. and EU companies and no one wants to be left behind. There is certainly an element of competition between US and EU exporters and EU companies may feel they have strength in numbers by unifying.'" http://t.uani.com/1CkSVdj

Al-Monitor: "Senate Foreign Relations Chairman Bob Corker, R-Tenn., hopes to have his committee vote on legislation giving Congress a say over a nuclear deal with Iran in the next few weeks, Al-Monitor has learned. Corker is seeking a vote right after next week's recess, potentially setting up one more congressional showdown with the Barack Obama administration over Iran. The White House has vowed to veto any legislation that would force an up-or-down vote on a final deal, arguing that it would derail the ongoing multiparty talks. 'I hope to be in a position fairly soon after recess to do something on it,' Corker said. One source close to the issue said a committee markup of the bill has been tentatively scheduled for the last week of February, but that may slip by a week as lawmakers focus on President Obama's war authorization request and other pressing matters. Corker introduced legislation last year that would in effect have given Congress veto power over a final agreement, but he suggested Feb. 11 that the new bill may differ substantially. He told Al-Monitor that the mechanism by which Congress would weigh in was an 'evolving concept' as he tweaks his bill to get more members of both parties on board, but that his goal remains 'for the president to have to submit this to Congress.'" http://t.uani.com/16XI14F

IRNA (Iran): "The Atomic Energy Organization of Iran will put into operation small centrifuge with over 80,000 cycles per minute within next six months, head of AEOI said on Tuesday. 'The spinning speed of our centrifuges today is 60,000 cycles per minute and the speed of the new centrifuges put into operation Tuesday will be 70,000 cpm, but the future generation of the Iranian centrifuges will have speeds around 80,000 to 100,000 cycles per minute,' said Ali-Akbar Salehi in an address on unveiling ceremony of the scientific Iranian tubular centrifuge for medical purpose. Salehi stressed that the quality of the newly manufactured centrifuges is incomparable with the previous generations, setting example of the usage of engine belts, but the new centrifuges are equipped with gearboxes." http://t.uani.com/1zOJsOf

   
Nuclear Program & Negotiations

Tehran Times: "President Hassan Rouhani has reaffirmed that the Iranian nation is seeking 'constructive interaction' with the world and at the same time will continue to protect its national interests and remain committed to the Islamic Revolution's principles and ideals. Rouhani made the remarks while addressing a massive gathering of people in Tehran celebrating the victory of the 1979 Islamic Revolution on Wednesday. Rouhani said these rallies indicate the reaffirmation of the Iranian nation's allegiance to the Islamic Revolution. He called for the annulment of all sanctions against Iran and dismissed the claims that Tehran has sat to the negotiating table with powers under pressure and sanctions. 'That you say Iran has come to the negotiating table because of sanctions is a lie. Iran has not come to the negotiating table due to the pressure of sanctions, [but] on account of logic and to establish peace and stability in the region and the world,' Rouhani noted. 'If you say that sanctions have forced Iran to negotiate, why don't you keep imposing sanctions [on Iran]? Stop telling lies and be honest with your nations,' he added. 'Speak honestly and admit that you have been left with no other option against the Iranian nation but interaction, and say it to the world out loud that if you intend to establish peace and stability and uproot terrorism in the Middle East region, you have no way out but [to interact with] the Islamic Republic,' Rouhani underscored." http://t.uani.com/1A01lsn

Al-Monitor: "At a speech commemorating the 36th anniversary of Iran's Islamic Revolution Feb 11, President Hassan Rouhani defended his administration in the nuclear negotiations with the five permanent members of the UN Security Council plus Germany (P5+1). Rouhani said that only 'Iran's enemies' are opposed to a nuclear and that 'it's only the Zionists who are putting all of their efforts to oppose a nuclear deal. But today the world has found out about their betrayal, especially after the crimes they committed in Gaza.' The use of the word 'betrayal' was an interesting choice given that earlier in his speech, Rouhani used the same word toward those not supporting Iranians on the battle front. In discussing the Iran-Iraq war era, he said: 'Those days when our fighters were fighting in battle, behind the front, all the people were supporting those fighting at the front. And no betrayal is higher than a betrayal behind the front. And today, all the people and the leader of the revolution support those who are at the diplomatic front and battle.'" http://t.uani.com/16XIxj7

Tehran Times: "A senior Iranian commander has highlighted Iran's defensive capabilities, saying the country's ballistic missiles can hit any targets in the Middle East with any desired precision. 'Today our ballistic missiles can fly thousands of kilometers and can hit any targets in the region with whatever desired precision and intensity,' Press TV quoted the second-in-command of the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) Hossein Salami as saying on Tuesday. The brigadier general also said the IRGC has thousands of high-speed warships at its disposal, which are capable of launching massive naval operations against enemy targets. The senior commander also said that the Islamic Republic's unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) can fly thousands of kilometers, adding that they can capture images and transmit them directly or indirectly to terrestrial stations. Salami said that Iran's drones have been equipped with high-precision smart missiles that can hit high-speed vehicles with pinpoint precision." http://t.uani.com/1DJkL7r

Sanctions Relief

Reuters: "India slashed imports of Iranian oil in January as New Delhi scrambled to bring its purchases from the OPEC member in line with 2013 levels, according to data obtained from trade sources and ship tracking data on the Thomson Reuters terminal. India, Iran's top client after China, took about 273,500 barrels per day (bpd) of Iranian crude in January, a decline of 21.5 percent from the previous month, the data showed. The imports were about a third less than a year ago. The cuts still leave India's daily average volumes for the April-January period above sanction limits as Iran and world powers try to outline an agreement by March 31 to end Tehran's isolation in return for curbs to its nuclear programme... India, with daily imports now running above those volumes, last month asked refiners to cut oil purchases from Iran to keep the shipments in line with the previous fiscal year's levels of about 11 million tonnes or 220,000 bpd. In the first 10 months of this fiscal year, though, India has taken about 10.6 million tonnes or 252,500 bpd, up a quarter from the same year-ago period, the data showed." http://t.uani.com/1CkPa7S

Foreign Affairs

CNN: "Houthi rebels took all U.S. Embassy vehicles parked at the Yemeni capital's airport and wouldn't let departing U.S. Marines take their weapons with them, a top Sanaa airport official said about the latest evidence of unrest in an Arab nation long seen as key in America's fight against terrorists. The actions come after the United States, along with Britain, suspended operations at their embassies and moved out staffers because of the instability in Yemen. According to the official, the Houthis seized many U.S. Marines' weapons at the airport, and the American troops also handed over some to random airport officials. However, a senior U.S. military official told CNN the Marines disabled their weapons and gave them to a Yemeni security detail, which had escorted them to the airport, because the Marines were flying commercial. The U.S. Marine Corps sharply denied the allegations." http://t.uani.com/1zOLFsU

Press TV (Iran): "Commander of Iran Islamic Revolution Guards Corps' Quds Force says foreign-sponsored Takfiri militant groups operating in Syria and Iraq have suffered humiliating defeats, and will soon breathe their last. 'Given the crushing defeats that ISIL and other terrorist groups have suffered in Iraq and Syria, we are certain that they have reached the end of their life,' Major General Qasem Soleimani said at a rally marking the 36th anniversary of the victory of Iran's 1979 Islamic Revolution in the southeastern city of Kerman on Wednesday, Fars News Agency reported. He further noted that arrogant powers, in their last scheme, have organized Takfiri groups in a bid to tarnish the image of Islam and fan the flames of sedition and internal war among Muslims." http://t.uani.com/1Afgppd

Opinion & Analysis

UANI Advisory Board Member Irwin Cotler in HuffPost: "As P5+1 proceeds, it is important to appreciate that the prevention of a 'nuclear breakout' capability is inextricably intertwined with the Iranian regime's ongoing massive repression of human rights. Indeed, negotiations proceed while human rights violations in Iran continue unabated -- and have even intensified -- under the 'moderate' President Rouhani. Iran's massive repression of the human rights of its own people should inform our approach to the nuclear negotiations. Simply put, Iran's assault on the human rights of its own people should engage the nuclear negotiating front. First, the prospect of a rights violating regime seeking to possess nuclear weapons itself warrants concern. Second, the reality of Iran's repressive treatment of its citizens -- and blatant breaches of its international law obligations in this regard -- should cause us to question the veracity of any commitments made by the regime in the context of the nuclear negotiations. What follows is an overview of some of the more serious human rights violations that continue in Iran -- and the corresponding Iranian defiance of its international commitments -- underpinned by an ongoing culture of impunity." http://t.uani.com/1EfsqZ0

Jacob Siegel in The Daily Beast: "In an announcement that could complicate the cornerstone of America's mission in Iraq-training Iraq's military to fight ISIS-an Iranian general said Monday that he also is prepared to begin training Iraqi military officers. The message comes after Baghdad and Tehran reached a security agreement in December, which has not been made public but will reportedly increase military cooperation between the two countries. Washington and Tehran have quietly cooperated in the fight against ISIS largely by avoiding direct contact and keeping to separate spheres of influence. If Iran begins training Iraqi officers at the same time the U.S. carries out its own multi-year training mission, those spheres could collide. Iran hasn't actually begun any training yet, only signaled its readiness, but if it does start, there are some obvious logistical questions to sort out that carry broader implications. It's not clear whether the U.S. and Iran would split up the Iraqi army in some sort of shared custody training different units, or if a single Iraqi officer could end up receiving direction from both American and Iranian advisers. The American military began training Iraq's forces in late December, days before Iran and Iraq concluded their security agreement. Currently the U.S. vets Iraqi troops to ensure they don't have ties to terrorist groups, but has not reported screening for ties to other armies. A Pentagon official told The Daily Beast that the department was unaware of Iran's announcement about training Iraqi officers. The official did not provide further comment on how the U.S. mission to train Iraq's military would be impacted if Iran began a similar program. It's no secret that the U.S.-backed war against ISIS relies on sectarian militias sponsored by Iran to combat the group in Iraq. After the Iraqi military collapsed during the initial ISIS onslaught, militias filled the gap, battling ISIS outside of Iraq's Kurdish regions. While the militias counter ISIS on the ground, the U.S. has focused on conducting airstrikes and retraining the Iraqi military to eventually take on the group. But the growing influence of Shia militias with ties to Iran, which have operated under U.S. air cover in the past, poses problems for both the U.S. and Iraq. While Baghdad attempts to form a national government and bring the country's Sunnis back into its political system, Shia militiamen are accused of massacring more than 70 Sunni villagers last month. The statement Monday from Brigadier Gen. Hossein Valivand about training Iraqi officers was reported by Iranian media, but received little notice in the West. Valivand, who runs the Iran Army's Command and General Staff College, said 'Iranian military experts are prepared enough to offer training to Iraqi forces,' according to Presstv, Tehran's English-language news outlet. 'Valivand added that the issue of training Iraqi soldiers had been discussed during a recent visit by Iraqi Defense Minister Khaled al-Obeidi to Tehran,' Presstv reports. The 'recent visit' is a reference to a December meeting between Iraq's defense minister and his Iranian counterpart that resulted in a security agreement between the two countries. Al Arabiya provided some of the few details on the agreement in English. Citing Iranian state television accounts, Al Arabiya reported that the defense ministers had 'agreed to continue cooperation in the defense arena with the creation of a national army to protect the territorial integrity and security of Iraq.' 'The Iranian proxy forces which include elements from the IRGC [the Revolutionary Guards, Iran's expeditionary military force] were already doing this for months,' said Phillip Smyth, a researcher on Shia Islamist militarism at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. 'It's an interesting kind of public messaging campaign,' Smyth said of Monday's announcement, 'to demonstrate further support for the Iraqi national entities while they are simultaneously militia-izing the rest of the country.'" http://t.uani.com/1KNwwM5

Mortimer Zuckerman in NYDN: "Iran believes time is on its side to build a nuclear bomb and the means to deliver it. Only an optimist blind to the history of Iran's clandestine ways and the labyrinthine story of the negotiations from 2003 could think otherwise following our grant of a second extension of time. There was a time during negotiations when Iran froze most of its program and kept up with its commitments. That promise of hope was unfortunately disproved when President Obama led the 5+1 not simply in an extension of time, but inducements to keep talking: Ok, Tehran you can keep your underground Fordow fuel enrichment plant; you don't have to dismantle your Arak plutonium facility; you can maintain the right to enrich uranium; and forget what we have been saying for years about getting rid of all your centrifuges, those spinning cylinders that enrich uranium potentially to weapons grade for a nuclear bomb. How about 4,000-5,000 centrifuges and we'll throw in some small easement of sanctions? All the red lines imposed have evaporated. We went from saying 'no enrichment of uranium' to a 'temporary complete enrichment freeze' to a 'partial freeze,' coupled with shipping some of Iran's stockpile to Russia to be diluted for power generation. Iran has gone from insignificant levels of enrichment - low-grade or otherwise - prior to 2010 to thousands of kilograms of enriched uranium. Big question: Why didn't the 5+1 lock in these concessions as the price of not tightening sanctions? And if the parties were so close to agreement last November, why did they extend by months instead of a few weeks? The retreats have hardly stiffened spines. Now it seems Russia and China are apt to accept any Iranian compromise they can package as reasonable. They can return to raking in millions in Iranian trade. Iran knows and is empowered by this. Just about every western leader is consistently on record saying 'No deal is better than a bad deal.' But the rhetoric does not match the reality. There are secret letters begging Iran for a compromise. No one is talking about dismantling Iran's program anymore. There is a sickening smell in the air, the harbinger of a bad deal. The Obama administration has ignored its previous commitment to Congress to ensure that Iran will not have nuclear weapons. It has acted in a way that ensures that Iran will pay no price for negotiating in bad faith and will suffer no consequences for recalcitrance. We cannot leave Iran with thousands of centrifuges to enrich uranium when it doesn't even need a single centrifuge to have peaceful nuclear energy. We must insist Iran cuts to 500 kilograms its reserves of uranium that has been enriched to 3.5%; it must stop enriching more uranium at Fordow and end tests of new generation centrifuges. We must insist on our having the right to inspect all its nuclear facilities. Witness the 10-year runaround that Iran has given the International Atomic Energy Agency. But the issue before the world is not just whether Iran can operate 9,000 or 4,000 uranium enrichment centrifuges. We also have to confront Iran's program for missiles. Iran doesn't need intercontinental ballistic missiles to reach Israel; they need them to reach Europe and the U.S. and the only thing to carry on an intercontinental ballistic missile is a nuclear warhead...  We should remember that Iran remains the Islamic republic, with all the ambitions of a hegemonic power. Its human rights record is deplorable; its ties are stronger than ever to terrorist organizations like Hamas and Hezbollah, whom Iran supplies with weapons, money and advisers; it supports bloody regimes like the one in Syria and sectarian governments like Iraq. They now claim a negative role in Lebanon, Syria, Yemen and Iraq. What is Obama's message? It seems to be more to want an accommodation with Iran than preventing its expansion, to avoid even a confrontation over its ability to attack the U.S. with a nuclear-tipped ICBM. We must have a clear message to Iran. We must make them understand what we consider an unacceptable deal: anything that fails to roll back their program to small numbers of centrifuges; anything that permits more than one bomb's worth of enriched uranium in country; or allows a heavy-water plant and, vitally, any deal that does not allow for scrutiny and understanding of what the consequences of cheating would be. We cannot live with a just-in-time Iranian nuclear program that leaves it with the option of going for a weapon at a moment of its choosing." http://t.uani.com/1CZaepR
       

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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