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WSJ:
"The House on Thursday passed legislation giving Congress a chance
to review any nuclear agreement reached with Iran next month. A bill that
took weeks of deliberations to clear the Senate last week easily cleared
the House, passing 400-25 under an expedited procedure used for
uncontroversial measures. The measure now goes to the White House, where
President Barack Obama is expected to sign it. The bill would prevent Mr.
Obama from waiving sanctions on Iran for 30 days while Congress reviews
any final agreement to diminish Iran's nuclear capabilities. Lawmakers
would then be able to vote to disapprove the deal, or take no action.
House Speaker John Boehner (R., Ohio) applauded the vote, saying the
legislation was the only way Congress would be able to stop a the
president from negotiating 'a bad deal' with Iran. Skeptics have noted
that even if lawmakers voted to disapprove an Iran deal, Mr. Obama could
veto that action-and that critics of any deal aren't expected to have
enough votes to override a veto... Republicans have accused the
administration of being willing to make too many concessions to strike an
agreement. Secretary of State John Kerry 'appears to be a guy who just
wants a deal-whatever it takes,' Senate Foreign Relations Committee
Chairman Bob Corker (R., Tenn.) said Wednesday. 'The least little thing
that Iran brings up, he's so anxious to resolve it.'" http://t.uani.com/1PKDbaC
NYT:
"President Obama on Thursday offered Saudi Arabia and smaller Arab
states new support to defend against potential missile strikes, maritime
threats and cyberattacks from Iran, calling his commitment to their
security 'ironclad' in an effort to allay fears that a nuclear accord
will empower Tehran, their main rival in the Middle East... 'I am
reaffirming our ironclad commitment to the security of our gulf
partners,' Mr. Obama said at a news conference at the wooded presidential
retreat here after seeing off the leaders of the Gulf Cooperation
Council, who had attended a day of private meetings here... Mr. Obama
also sought to assuage the fears of Saudi Arabia and other Arab nations
in the group that say that lifting oil and financial sanctions on Iran,
as called for in the framework of a nuclear deal, would allow Iran to
expand its influence from Iraq to Syria to Yemen. The president played
down the threat, saying that no sanctions would be lifted unless Tehran
complied with the stringent terms of the deal, that sanctions had already
devastated Iran's economy and that, in any case, 'most of the
destabilizing activity that Iran engages in is low-tech, low-cost
activity.'" http://t.uani.com/1ICpjjH
WSJ:
"Iranian patrol boats opened fire on a Singapore-flagged oil tanker
as it moved through the Strait of Hormuz in a confrontation that raised
new concerns about Iran's attempts to exert more control of commerce in
the Persian Gulf. For the second time in two weeks, Islamic Revolutionary
Guard Corps Naval patrol boats confronted a commercial ship moving
through the strait and ordered it into Iranian waters on Thursday,
according to U.S. officials. Three Iranian patrol boats opened fire on
the 600-foot-long Alpine Eternity when the tanker crew refused to follow
their direction, then chased the tanker after it issued a call for help,
U.S. officials said. While the Alpine Eternity made it safely to port in
the United Arab Emirates, the confrontation is the latest in a string of
developments that have heightened tensions in the Gulf region. During the
past month, the U.S. military has sent an aircraft carrier to the Arabian
Sea to deter an Iranian flotilla suspected of carrying arms for allies in
Yemen and temporarily increased protection for American and British ships
moving through the Strait of Hormuz." http://t.uani.com/1PnLLkD
Nuclear Program & Negotiations
AP:
At the summit-closing news conference, Obama said Gulf leaders hadn't
been asked to 'sign on the bottom line' to approve a work in process.
They agreed, he said, 'that a comprehensive, verifiable solution that
fully addresses the regional and international concerns about Iran's
nuclear program is in the security interests of the international
community, including our GCC partners.' Saudi Foreign Minister Adel
al-Jubeir, one of the attendees, was more circumspect. Arab leaders were
'assured that the objective is to deny Iran the ability to obtain a
nuclear weapon,' al-Jubeir said, but he added: 'It would be too early to
prejudge what we accept, what we don't accept.' http://t.uani.com/1RPcTI9
WashPost:
"At the end of the meetings, Obama made clear that he would not
sacrifice the chance for a historic diplomatic opening in Iran or delve
deeper into to Syrian conflict to assuage the anxieties of gulf leaders.
'I believe that the Camp David commitments I have described today could
mark the beginning of a new era of cooperation between our countries, a
closer, stronger partnership that advances our mutual security for
decades to come,' the president said. 'But I want to be very clear: The
purpose of any strategic cooperation is not to perpetuate any long-term
confrontation with Iran, or to even marginalize Iran.'" http://t.uani.com/1A6oMne
The Hill:
"The White House on Thursday dismissed concerns that a potential
deal on Iran's nuclear program could trigger an 'arms race' in the Middle
East. U.S. allies in the Persian Gulf have voiced concern ahead of a Camp
David summit that the nuclear pact at the top of President Obama's agenda
could embolden Tehran and threaten their security. A former high-ranking
Saudi intelligence official has said his nation would pursue its own
nuclear enrichment capability because the pending deal would leave parts
of Iran's nuclear program intact. The White House sought to downplay the
report. 'We've never had any indication from any of these countries that
they are intending to pursue the type of domestic nuclear program that
would raise concerns,' deputy national security adviser Ben Rhodes told
reporters at Camp David... Rhodes argued that the inspections and limits
imposed on Iran's nuclear program should ease Gulf nations' concerns
about a nuclear weapon with which Iran could menace the Middle East.
'There would be no need to see the type of regional arms race that would
make an already volatile part of the world that much more unstable and
unsecure,' he said." http://t.uani.com/1A4FYtJ
Reuters:
"A U.S.-supplied missile shield to protect Gulf nations against
Iranian attacks will take years to complete, requiring a step-up in
regional trust, more U.S. sales of sensitive weapons, and intensive U.S.
training to avoid mishaps in the volatile region. A renewed joint
commitment to build the regional defense system was one of the few firm
outcomes of Thursday's Camp David summit between President Barack Obama
and Gulf allies, which were seeking fresh U.S. defense pledges ahead of a
possible nuclear deal they fear will empower arch-rival Iran... A joint
statement following the summit said that the GCC states were committed to
developing a ballistic missile defense capability, including an early
warning system, with U.S. technical help. Washington pledged to
fast-track arms transfers to the GCC states and to send a team to the
region in the coming weeks to discuss the details... An integrated defense
system would allow Gulf countries to better repel an Iranian attack,
stitching together their radars and interceptors to counter a range of
different missiles." http://t.uani.com/1ICkYNu
Sanctions Relief
Reuters:
"South Korea's imports of Iranian crude fell 6.5 percent in April
from a year ago, with its oil shipments from the OPEC country in the
first four months of 2015 dropping nearly 14 percent year-on-year to meet
international sanction requirements... Seoul imported 516,918 tonnes of
crude oil from Tehran last month, or 126,300 barrels per day (bpd),
compared with 552,884 tonnes, or 135,088 bpd, a year ago, preliminary
customs data from the world's fifth-largest crude oil importer showed on
Friday. Asia's No.4 economy brought in 1.9 million tonnes, or 117,161
bpd, of crude from the Middle Eastern country in the period between
January and April this year, below 2.2 million tonnes, or 135,982 bpd, in
the same period last year. South Korean crude shipments from Iran in 2014
were 6.2 million tonnes, or 124,497 bpd, down 7.1 percent from the 2013
average of 134,000 bpd, according to data and Reuters calculations in
January." http://t.uani.com/1H6Scio
Syria Conflict
Der Spiegel:
"His war only lasted from one dawn to the next. When the sun rose
for the second time over the Syrian city of Aleppo, Murad, a farmer from
Afghanistan, was still cowering on the second floor of the house he was
supposed to defend to the death. That, at least, is what his Iranian
officer had ordered him to do. How, though, did he get to this war-torn
city far away from his village in the mountains of Afghanistan? All he
had wanted was an Iranian residence permit, he says. But at the end of
his trip, he found himself fighting as a mercenary in the Syrian civil
war on the side of the Bashar Assad regime... Up to 2 million Hazara live
in Iran, most of them as illegal immigrants. It is an inexhaustible
reservoir of the desperate, from which the Pasdars -- as Iran's
Revolutionary Guards are called -- have recruited thousands for the war
in Syria over the last year and a half." http://t.uani.com/1PnOrPd
Human Rights
Bloomberg:
"As a June 30 deadline approaches for a nuclear deal with Iran, the
fate of four Americans imprisoned or missing in the Islamic Republic
hangs over the talks and has provoked a debate on Capitol Hill. Three --
a former Marine, a pastor and a journalist -- are accused of espionage or
undermining Iran's national security. Their families tell a different
story: one was visiting his elderly grandmother; another was supporting
Christian churches in private homes and an orphanage; the third is a
reporter for the Washington Post. The fourth, former FBI agent Robert
Levinson, 67, was reportedly on a CIA fact-finding mission when he went
missing in 2007 on Kish Island off Iran's coast. In 2011, his family in
Florida received photos from Afghanistan showing him in an orange
jumpsuit. Their representatives in Congress call the men hostages." http://t.uani.com/1PKBA4I
NYT:
"Amir Hekmati, the Marine veteran who is the longest-held American
prisoner in Iran, reluctantly ended his second hunger strike this past
weekend after relatives - particularly his terminally ill father -
beseeched him to stop, Mr. Hekmati's sister said Thursday. The sister,
Sarah, also said in an interview that despite Mr. Hekmati's despondence
over the apparent paralysis of his case - the basis for his hunger strike
protest - she believed that some Iranian officials would like to see him
released and may be exerting their influence to at least make his imprisonment
slightly less harsh. Even as he has asserted his innocence of any
wrongdoing in letters to Iranian leaders and protested the conditions of
his incarceration at Evin Prison in Tehran, there has been no sign that
he has been further penalized in response, Ms. Hekmati said. And in
recent months, she said, he has been able to call his family in Flint,
Mich., for a few minutes every day on a prison-monitored telephone."
http://t.uani.com/1PKz9it
IranWire:
"The Baha'i International Community (BIC) today launches a global
campaign to raise awareness about the situation for Baha'is in Iran, and
to commemorate the seventh anniversary of the unlawful arrest and
imprisonment of seven prominent Baha'i leaders. The campaign, which runs
from May 14 to May 20, calls for the immediate release of Mahvash Sabet,
Fariba Kamalabadi, Jamaloddin Khanjani, Afif Naeimi, Saeid Rezaie,
Behrouz Tavakkoli and Vahid Tizfahm, who were all arrested in early 2008
for being leading members of an Iranian Baha'i community group. Each day
of the campaign will focus on one of the seven detainees, highlighting
the details of their cases and calling for international support via
social media, and in particular through BIC's Facebook Event page. To
raise awareness of the campaign, IranWire will be running a series of
interviews with family members of some of the seven prisoners. All seven
continue to endure inhumane conditions in two of Iran's most notorious
prisons - the two female leaders, Mahvash Sabet and Fariba
Kamalabadi are currently held in Evin Prison, and the five male leaders
are imprisoned at Karaj's Gohardasht Prison." http://t.uani.com/1B18tDk
ICHRI:
"Despite the Iranian government's stated intention to move towards
the selective blocking of Internet content ('smart filtering'), a top
government official proclaimed that the social networking giant Facebook
would continue to be completely blocked in Iran. Abdolsamad Khorramabadi,
a high-level advisor to Iran's Prosecutor General and Secretariat of the
State's Working Group to Determine Criminal Content, told the Tabnak
website on May 5 that 'Facebook will definitely not be included in this
type of [smart] filtering, and will remain completely blocked.' The
continuation of the Facebook ban reflects the profound fear with which Iranian
officials view social media networks, which have proved enormously
popular in Iran, particularly among the younger generation." http://t.uani.com/1e5qX0x
Opinion &
Analysis
William Kristol
& Michael Makovsky in The Weekly Standard: "So:
One of the main justifications of the Iran deal was that it would slow
down nuclear proliferation in the Middle East. But it turns out it will
do the opposite. This is a 'perverse consequence' of the deal only from
President Obama's point of view, as expressed by the New York Times. From
the point of view of anyone familiar with the Middle East, it is in fact
a predictable consequence. The Iran deal is making nuclear proliferation
in an unbelievably unstable region of the world-one made more unstable,
we would add, by President Obama's policies of retreat in Iraq and
inaction in Syria--more likely and more imminent. Maybe this is an
unfortunate price one has to pay if a deal could, as President Obama said
this past week in an interview with the Arab daily Asharq al-Awsat,
'strengthen the hands of more moderate leaders in Iran.' But there's no
sign of that. Quite the contrary... given this evidence of very recent
Iranian behavior, how likely is it that the deal will strengthen the
forces of moderation in Iran? In fact, achieving a deal that amounts to a
huge series of concessions by the West and that allows Iran to leave its
nuclear infrastructure in place--a deal that legitimizes Iran as a
nuclear threshold state--will have the opposite effect. It will leave the
regime in Iran strengthened and emboldened. After all, to say nothing of
other considerations, if there's a deal, the regime will, thanks to the
unfreezing of sanctioned assets, quickly receive a 'signing bonus' of
$30-50 billion from the deal, an immediate cash infusion equivalent to
more than 10 percent of Iran's GDP. Indeed, when pressed, even the Obama
administration acknowledges that enriching the Islamic Republic of Iran
may only accelerate its mischief-making. White House spokesman Josh
Earnest said on May 5 that the administration hopes 'that the influx of
resources will be devoted to meeting the needs of the population there
and to strengthening the economy that has taken a terrible toll on the
daily lives of millions of Iranians.' But he admitted that 'even while
these sanctions have been in place we have not seen Iran significantly
scale back their support for terrorism or their destabilization
activities in the region.' Ultimately, he said with resignation, Iran 'is
a sovereign country that will make their own decisions.' So there are two
fundamentally flawed assumptions--really, hopes--underlying the Obama
administration's deal. The hope is that such a deal (a) would lead to
improved Iranian behavior and (b) would slow down nuclear proliferation
in the region. But based on current Iranian behavior and today's
reactions in the region, both hopes are false. In fact, they are the
complete opposite of the dynamics we already see playing out. The nuclear
deal with Iran would have the 'perverse consequence' both of making the
Iranian regime stronger and more apt to engage in bad behavior, and of
contributing to instability and nuclear proliferation in the Middle East.
It's up to Congress to kill the deal, and thereby to save us from the
predictable consequences of the Obama administration's perverse view of
American interests and of how the real world works." http://t.uani.com/1Gcdi2S
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