Tuesday, May 24, 2016

Eye on Iran: Hardliner Elected as Head of Iran's Top Clerical Body








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Reuters: "A powerful anti-Western cleric was chosen on Tuesday as the head of Iran's new Assembly of Experts, in a sign that hardliners are still in firm control of the body in charge of choosing the next supreme leader. Ahmad Jannati, 90, is a an outspoken critic of President Hassan Rouhani and his attempts to end Iran's global isolation by normalizing ties with the West. The 88-member assembly, consisting mostly of elderly clerics, is expected to choose the successor to supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who is 77 and rumored to be in frail health... The selection of Jannati, with 51 votes according to state media, as the new head is likely to surprise voters in the February election who managed to block many hardliners from keeping their seats in the assembly. Jannati had squeezed in as the last of 16 members elected in the capital Tehran. Jannati is also the chairman of the Guardian Council, a hardline vetting body that disqualified the majority of prominent reformist and many moderate candidates from running in the February elections. Even by the standards of Iran's clerical establishment, Jannati stands out for his virulently anti-Western opinions, once accusing the West of having created al Qaeda and describing U.S. forces in Iraq as 'bloodthirsty wolves.'" http://t.uani.com/1TwTSsm
 
FT: "Iran is fulfilling its pledge to raise oil production and exports almost six months after western sanctions on the sector were lifted, surprising many analysts and commentators. Oilfields pumped almost 3.6m barrels a day in April, a level last reached in November 2011 before sanctions over Tehran's nuclear programme were tightened, said the International Energy Agency. Crude exports surged to 2m b/d in last month, just 200,000 b/d below late 2011 levels. Iran is engaged in a battle for market share with Saudi Arabia and other regional rivals in its efforts to regain customers after years of curbed oil sales that crippled its economy. Mike Wittner, oil analyst at Société Générale, said: 'Most people felt the Iranians were talking a big game ahead of the lifting of sanctions. This was an oil market wild card and they have surpassed our expectations.' ... Of the chartered tankers that loaded from February to the first week of May, 16 out of 21 were headed for Europe, shipbrokers say. About 12 of the National Iranian Tanker Company's almost 40 very large vessels are taking crude to existing customers in Asia, while the rest are storing it offshore. 'Selling crude is really no problem but the issue is on the financial side,' said one Iranian official, adding that exports could have been higher if it were not for financiers holding back from doing business with Iran... US banks and financial institutions are still prohibited from processing payments related to Iranian oil and many of their European counterparts are wary of breaching the remaining US restrictions. Shipowners and insurers are also wary of dealing with the country or clients that want to lift Iranian oil. Those that do are having to face higher costs to conduct trades... Tony Foster, chief executive of Marine Capital, the UK shipping asset manager, said shipowners were also wary of chartering ships to businesses such as those controlled by the Revolutionary Guard Corps, which is still subject to sanctions. 'There are lots of outstanding issues,' said Mr Foster, despite valid international certificates and removal of shipping and insurance restrictions. 'Even though sanctions have been lifted, you can't just go steaming in.' 'Until Iran has control over its shipping industry, it won't have control over its exports. And without that, its moves to secure market share become tricky,' Mr Foster added." http://t.uani.com/27RdRf5

Reuters: "Hopes that Iran would quickly reintegrate with world markets after its nuclear deal, bringing investment and opportunities to a young population, are turning to frustration. An opaque business environment in Iran and political uncertainty in the United States are to blame. Tehran's hotels are buzzing with businessmen keen for a slice of a big new emerging market, more industrially developed than most oil and gas-rich nations but isolated since the 1979 Islamic Revolution that turned Iran into a pariah state for most of the West and many of its Middle Eastern neighbors. Yet potential foreign investors have found that the removal of international sanctions in exchange for monitored curbs on Iran's nuclear program is only part of the story. Barriers to entry include resistance from hardliners within Iran who worry an opening to the world will undermine their entrenched interests, and fear among foreign investors of falling foul of residual U.S. sanctions. Under the nuclear deal, the U.S. and Europe lifted sanctions in January. But other U.S. restrictions remain. These include a ban on Iran-linked transactions in dollars being processed through the U.S. financial system and sanctions on individuals and entities identified as supporting 'state-sponsored terrorism'. The chief target of the anti-terrorism sanctions is the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), the theocratic establishment's enforcer at home and strike-force abroad. The IRGC is also behind a business empire, encompassing construction to banking, and is expert at hiding its involvement. Investors and top-tier foreign banks fear U.S. action could shut them out of the international banking system if they deal, even by mistake, with sanctioned bodies. Foreign executives scouting for business in Iran say when they examine the tangle of ownership behind companies they approach, they often detect IRGC ties. Claude Begle, executive chairman of SymbioSwiss, a logistics and infrastructure company, says he found that one exploratory project turned up such links. 'We did a lot of due diligence and we found that the names of institutions appearing on the OFAC (the US Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control) sanction list are sometimes not far away,' he said in apparent reference to the Revolutionary Guard. 'When you look at the shareholders structure at the second or third level, then you see that such names may appear. They are sitting there.' 'Very often when you look at Iran's successful companies, you can see that. And unless those companies are willing to modify accordingly their board structures, it will be very hard to raise international financing to work with such entities.' ... Alexander Gorjinia, part of the second German business delegation to visit Iran since August 2015, says 'the biggest problem is the banks'. While businesses and banks may have German go-ahead to operate in Iran, OFAC 'puts the responsibility of establishing whether the (Iranian) company is clean on the foreign company.' 'The foreign company has to investigate the Iranian company, whether it is linked to or is part of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard,' Gorjinia told Reuters. 'It has to investigate their dealings, how they operate behind the scenes. We have to work with companies that have money in their pocket and most of them are part of the Revolutionary Guard. This is what our information tells us.'" http://t.uani.com/1qGVck7

U.S.-Iran Relations

RFE/RL: "For the first time, Iran has officially acknowledged that it has imprisoned a U.S. permanent resident who advocates for Internet freedom. Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Hossein Jaberi Ansari said Tehran 'will try to speed up' the case of Lebanese citizen Nizar Zakka, who disappeared in Tehran in September after attending a government-sponsored conference." http://t.uani.com/1U7Hu1i

Business Risk

Guardian: "The governor of Iran's central bank has said obstacles stopping Iranian banks from rejoining the global financial system show that the US and the EU are failing to fully comply with their commitments under the landmark nuclear deal. Four months after the lifting of sanctions against Iran, big European banks remain reluctant to handle Iranian payments despite recent efforts by the US secretary of state, John Kerry, to reassure them that dealing with Tehran is now permissible.  Valiollah Seif told the Guardian that western governments need to translate their words into action, playing a more active role in making sure that banks are confident they will not be punished for reestablishing ties with his country. 'Some movement and western officials have made some positive pronouncements, but banks need tangible reassurances that they would be immune from baseless allegations [of sanctions breaches],' he said on Thursday on the sidelines of the Euromoney Iran Conference in London... Uncertainty over the US presidential elections and the over-zealous application of US sanctions - even in countries where they do not apply - have also exacerbated those fears. 'Banks need enough reassurances, even if this means rewriting guidelines or revising regulations, or giving banks written guarantees,' Seif said. 'Until our western interlocutors have fully fulfilled their obligations under the nuclear deal, we won't see a real change in our banking relations.' UK firms such as Lloyds Banking Group and Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) have refused to serve as clearing banks for their Iranian counterparts, preventing them from reopening their London branches, the governor said. 'Our first expectation from Britain is to provide assistance so that our Iranian banks can start operating in London again,' he said." http://t.uani.com/1syRNVN

Free Beacon: "Members of Congress have summoned the heads of airplane giant Boeing to a meeting to encourage the company to stop spearheading efforts to reenter the Iranian marketplace, a business pursuit that is jointly backed by the Obama administration, according to a letter sent Friday to Boeing leadership and obtained by the Washington Free Beacon. Boeing, like its French rival AirBus, has been working to woo the Iranian government following last summer's comprehensive nuclear agreement. Officials at Boeing-a top U.S. government contractor-opened discussions with Iran last month. The company is hoping to sell its aircraft and other services to Iran's national airline... Three House members from Washington state, a major base for Boeing operations, wrote to the company on Friday to request a meeting. The letter also was sent to the head of AirBus. 'We write to express our serious concerns over the sale of airplanes, parts, and other aircraft-related services to the Islamic Republic of Iran,' write Republican Reps. Cathy McMorris Rodgers, the GOP conference chair, Dave Reichert, chair of the House committee that regulates trade, and Dan Newhouse. 'With Airbus already conducting business in Iran and Boeing working with the Administration to begin its own sales, an extremely dangerous precedent is being set for Western companies,' the lawmakers wrote, according to a copy of the correspondence obtained by the Free Beacon. 'We ask both of your companies to consider the profound moral implications of engaging a nation that has proven time and time again that it cannot be trusted.'" http://t.uani.com/1Rnej8J

Sanctions Relief

WSJ: "Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Afghan President Ashraf Ghani signed an agreement with Tehran on Monday for a transport corridor designed to open up a new route to Afghanistan via the Iranian port of Chabahar, circumventing Pakistan. Chabahar port, which India will partially develop just across the border from Pakistan's Chinese-run Gwadar port, is the centerpiece of the corridor. India and Iran on Monday signed an agreement in Tehran that allows New Delhi to begin work on Chabahar after a delay of more than a decade. 'To carve out new routes for peace and prosperity is our common goal,' Mr. Modi said. 'Afghanistan will get an assured, effective and a more friendly route to trade with the rest of the world,' he said, in a veiled criticism of Pakistan, with whom both countries share turbulent ties and whose location in between them has stymied trade. Mr. Modi said the deal could 'alter the course of history of this region' and help India, Afghanistan and Iran 'to eventually build what we all desire and deserve-a friendly and healthy neighborhood.' ... Under the deal with Iran, New Delhi will invest $200 million to develop two terminals and five berths at Chabahar, India's Foreign Ministry said. An additional $300 million would be available for the port and development of related infrastructure, according to a statement from Mr. Modi. Iran is also seeking investment from other nations to fully develop the port." http://t.uani.com/1NJo9Hl

Press TV (Iran): "Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif will make an official visit to Finland next week to hold talks with senior officials of the country. Zarif is scheduled to hold talks with Finland's Minister of Foreign Affairs Timo Soini on 31 May, the Finnish government announced on its website on Tuesday. It added that the two ministers' discussions will focus on Tehran-Helsinki relations, regional developments in the Middle East and the Persian Gulf, ties between the European Union and Iran, and other topical international issues. The Iranian foreign minister will also sit down with Finnish President Sauli Niinisto and Speaker of Parliament Maria Lohela. A large business delegation will accompany Zarif in his trip to Finland. In January, on the sidelines of the 46th annual meeting of the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, Switzerland, the Iranian foreign minister and Finland's president held a meeting." http://t.uani.com/1WPXGes

Press Trust of India: "India has sought a discovered oilfield from Iran for raising crude oil imports from the Persian Gulf nation as part of efforts to widen economic and energy ties post lifting of sanctions. Indian Oil Corp (IOC), the nation's largest oil firm, has proposed to Iran that it be given rights to operate and produce crude oil from the discovered field to help move away from buyer-seller relationship to a strategic partnership, sources privy to the development said... Besides IOC, ONGC Videsh Ltd has also sought two discovered fields from the 16 fields that Iran is likely to put on auction shortly. The fields sought by OVL, the overseas arm of state-owned Oil and Natural Gas Corp (ONGC), is besides the Farzad-B offshore field for which it is in advanced talks to secure developmental rights. OVL had in 2008 discovered the Farzad-B field in the Persian Gulf. The field holds 12.5 Trillion cubic feet of recoverable reserves... Sources said India has also expressed interest in investing in chemicals, petrochemicals and fertilizer plants if Iran provided natural gas at low prices. It also is looking at setting up an ammonia/urea plant in Chabahar Free Trade Zone with long-term off-take of urea to India. While Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Ltd (MRPL) and Essar Oil Ltd - the biggest Indian buyers of Iranian oil - are likely to maintain buying at around 5 million tonnes each, Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd (BPCL) and Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd (HPCL) may begin importing oil from the Persian Gulf nation. HPCL-Mittal Energy Ltd (HMEL) has indicated it will buy a small quantity with an option to raise volumes." http://t.uani.com/1OKYYiG

Reuters: "National Aluminium Co Ltd (NALCO) and Iran's mining development body have agreed to explore the possibility of building an aluminium smelter in Iran, NALCO said in a statement on Monday, as New Delhi tries to boost trade ties with Tehran after the lifting of sanctions. NALCO's Indian refinery would supply the alumina for the smelter if the project were to go ahead. The agreement also opens up the prospect of other Iranian smelters using alumina supplied by India. The deal was signed as Prime Minister Narendra Modi begins a visit to Iran to further diplomatic and trade ties." http://t.uani.com/1sySTRo

Reuters: "South Korea's crude oil imports from Iran rose 113.5 percent in April from a year earlier, while its total crude oil imports rose 9.1 percent year on year to 89.7 million barrels last month, data from state-run Korea National Oil Corp (KNOC) showed on Tuesday." http://t.uani.com/1TBfeqL

Terrorism

RFE/RL: "The likely killing of Taliban leader Mullah Akhtar Mohammad Mansur in a U.S. drone strike in southwestern Pakistan has attracted attention to Islamabad and its longstanding covert alliance with the Afghan Taliban. But less attention is being paid to budding relations between the hard-line Sunni insurgent movement and Iran's clerical establishment. A well-placed Afghan source has confirmed to RFE/RL's Gandhara website that Mansur was targeted on the afternoon of May 21 after returning from Iran earlier that day. Mansur and his driver were killed on the outskirts of Ahmad Wal town on the main highway connecting Quetta, the capital of Pakistan's southwestern Balochistan Province, to Iran. Ahmad Wal is nearly 500 kilometers or a five-hour drive from the Taftan border crossing between Pakistan and Iran... The source said Tehran is keen on keeping the Taliban from becoming a close ally of its regional archrival, Saudi Arabia. 'Iran's relations with the Taliban can fit every possible game and strategy for Tehran,' he said." http://t.uani.com/1XtXPmd

Human Rights

BBC: "A teachers' union leader in Iran has warned of an intensifying campaign of harassment and imprisonment by the Iranian authorities against teachers' union representatives. Hashem Khastar, from Mashhad in north-east Iran, says there have been hunger strikes staged by teachers in protest against jailings and the denial of human rights. Mr Khastar, from the teachers' union in Khorasan Razavi province, says he has been jailed three times. He says this followed his defence of the right of teachers to belong to an independent union and that he was jailed for 'trying to bring out the voice of the innocent teachers of Iran'. 'The teachers want, through this teachers' movement, to achieve democracy,' he says." http://t.uani.com/1XtUuUn

Domestic Politics

AP: "A hard-line Iranian cleric who has been in the country's power structure since its 1979 Islamic Revolution was chosen on Tuesday to lead the Assembly of Experts, a clerical body that picks the country's next supreme leader. The selection of 89-year-old Ayatollah Ahmad Jannati, an ultraconservative who called for the execution of opposition activists after Iran's disputed 2009 election and asked Iraqis to be suicide bombers against U.S. forces in Iraq in 2003, signals the power hard-liners still wield in Iran despite a recent nuclear deal with world powers... After the vote, Jannati reiterated recent comments by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei that the Assembly should remain 'revolutionary,' state TV reported. 'I hope to work in a way that leads to happiness of the almighty God, the supreme leader and the people,' Jannati said... Tehran-based political analyst Saeed Leilaz said he believed Jannati's election showed Khamenei's influence on the panel, as well as Jannati's own in being able to vet and pick candidates from his post on the Guardian Council. 'Jannati is symbol of continuation' of hard-line policies, Leilaz said. Jannati's biography shows that as well. He traveled the world in 1989 to seek Muslim nations' support for the death fatwa, or edict, issued by clerics against author Salman Rushdie for his book 'The Satanic Verses.' He accused Qatar in 2002 of 'committing treason against all Muslims' by hosting a U.S. air base, and urged Iraqis in 2003 to 'resort to martyrdom operations to expel the United States.' In 2009, he remarked during Friday prayers that he wanted someone to shoot then-Israeli Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni." http://t.uani.com/20vszTj

AFP: "The 88-member assembly has proven well beyond the reach of reformists, although moderate President Hassan Rouhani and heavyweight former president Ayatollah Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani topped the election to it in Tehran. Rafsanjani, a senior figure in the moderate and reformist camp, did not have enough confidence to run for the chairmanship of the conservative-dominated body. Media said he could not even muster a quarter of the votes... In the vote for the assembly chairmanship, the reformist camp reportedly threw its support behind Ayatollah Ebrahim Amini, a moderate conservative who is a prayer leader in the Shiite clerical centre of Qom. But he won just 21 votes to Jannati's 51. The new assembly could have a major say in Iran's future political direction because of Khamenei's advancing age." http://t.uani.com/1qGTUpo

Opinion & Analysis

Nazanin Boniadi in CNN: "Once, I hoped to return to Iran. Like Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe, the woman who now sits in an Iranian jail, I longed to visit family, friends, the land of my birth. Her arrest last month, the latest in a string of arrests of dual nationals lured back to Iran, has thrown cold water on my hopes, for now. The oppressors, for the moment, have won. But it's a hollow victory, and I do not believe a permanent one, as it only serves to starve Iran of the vitality and engagement with the world its citizens want and need. When I read about Nazanin's arrest in Iran, I was struck by the deep connection I felt to this woman - and to the enormity of what sets us apart. Both of us are Iranian-born young women, sharing the same given name, who made Great Britain our home and philanthropy our life's work. Yet she sits in a detention center, while I enjoy the comforts of home. She has been virtually incommunicado and in isolation, deprived even of her 22-month-old daughter, while I am surrounded by family and friends. Why? Because she returned to the Islamic Republic of Iran, to visit her parents, and to allow them to see their granddaughter, while I live in an open society, where such philanthropic work is celebrated, not criminalized. How many more of Iran's best and brightest, who return home to see their loved ones, or even to offer their talents to assist with the country's growth, will be snatched off the streets and imprisoned, because the Islamic Republic's security and intelligence apparatus wants to keep dual nationals - and their notions of freedom of speech and freedom of the press - out of Iran? ... As the Islamic Republic seeks to normalize its relations with the world, let the global community state clearly that these detentions are not lawful or acceptable. The international community must speak out loudly and with one voice against this injustice. If Iran wants to stand among the community of nations as something other than a pariah, these seizures must stop." http://t.uani.com/1s78rvM
       

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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