Thursday, May 19, 2016

Eye on Iran: Iran's London Charm Offensive Clouded by Wariness Over Sanctions







Join UANI  
  FacebookFollow Us on Twitter View our videos on YouTube
   
 
Top Stories

Bloomberg: "London's financial elite will listen to Iran's central bank chief on Thursday as the Persian Gulf nation seeks to break a deadlock in investments caused by the few remaining U.S. sanctions. While the lifting of most curbs after the country's nuclear deal with world powers last year is luring some smaller money managers, most investors are staying away from the market of 80 million consumers as they remain doubtful of Iran's ability to protect their investments. To win back their trust, Tehran is sending 50 policy makers and finance executives to meet their European counterparts at the first ever Euromoney conference dedicated to the country... 'The question is how much money would they possibly make in Iran that could outweigh running into breach of those still existing U.S. sanctions,' said Charles Robertson, the London-based global chief economist at Renaissance Capital Ltd., which conducts economic research on Iran and other emerging markets. 'The answer from most investors so far is it's not worth it.' ... The Euromoney conference will facilitate a discussion on 'the key hurdles and challenges to overcome in order for Iran to regain its position in the international banking and financial community,' according to the official website. Besides Seif, senior officials including Hassan Ghalibaf Asl, the chief executive officer of Tehran Stock Exchange, will also speak. About 300 delegates, including the likes of Lombard Odier Investment Managers and Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp., will seek clarity from Iranian officials on how the country's financial institutions left impaired by the decade-long exile are being mended. One of their chief concerns is the lack of a global custodian for the safekeeping of stocks and bonds, given their lack of confidence in the local alternative. 'We don't invest in Iran at the moment,' Michael Levy, a London-based frontier markets fund manager at Barings Plc, which oversees $35.4 billion in its asset management business. 'The legal infrastructure and custody is not well defined enough to ensure safe custody of assets.'" http://t.uani.com/1TlReWm

WSJ: "Ebadallah Abdollahi, a commander of Iran's Revolutionary Guards, was surprised last summer to find one of his top projects being second-guessed. A confidential review ordered by the government called for scaling back a multibillion-dollar bullet-train project in which he was deeply involved, cutting some of its costs and allowing Western companies to bid for part of the work, said people who saw the report. Since then, two European companies have negotiated with Iran for a piece of the project, with talks in one case continuing. Iran is riven by a behind-the-scenes skirmish over the economy, one that was sharply accelerated by the country's 2015 deal with world powers to curb the country's nuclear program. During years of sanctions that kept away many foreign companies, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps stepped into the void, building a network of companies that came to dominate Iranian industries from energy to telecommunications. The nuclear deal, by lifting many of the sanctions, is reopening the doors to those foreign companies. The relatively moderate government of President Hassan Rouhani is trying to nudge aside the conservative Revolutionary Guards in some areas to make way for what it hopes will be a flood of Western money. Top leaders deny discord. President Rouhani, in remarks published by the state news agency IRNA a week ago, said there was no conflict between his administration and other Iranian power bases. 'We don't have any confrontation with each other domestically,' he said. Cmdr. Abdollahi, at a news conference a few days earlier, said, 'We haven't had any particular problem with any of the government.' But officials of both sides describe tensions over the Revolutionary Guards' extensive involvement in business and what it means for other participants... While Mr. Abdollahi disputes Iran's need for most foreign involvement, a few companies affiliated with the Revolutionary Guards are starting to hire Western consultants and recruit politically moderate professionals to help run companies. The idea, said officials familiar with the moves, is to co-opt Iran's Westward shift and get in position to grab a slice of future foreign business instead of resisting it." http://t.uani.com/1TZtdGK

Reuters: "The United States has a simple answer for executives of European banks scratching their heads over whether it is now legal for them to do business with Iran: Just ask. Any firm concerned whether a prospective business deal with Iran would be legal, Secretary of State John Kerry said before a meeting with British bankers in London last week, should call the U.S. agency in charge of sanctions, the Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control, known as OFAC. 'It really shouldn't be complicated,' he told reporters, according to a transcript of his comments. 'It's clearly defined, and when people have a question, we are available to answer those questions.' If only it were that simple. Sanctions lawyers say OFAC does not do enough to clear up the ambiguity caused by a maze of overlapping sanctions and exemptions. In interviews, nearly a dozen attorneys who regularly deal with the agency said the recommendations they receive are often vague and noncommittal... Since some sanctions were lifted, Iran has agreed to deals worth a total of at least $37 billion in sectors such as construction, aviation and car manufacturing, with companies including planemaker Airbus, carmaker Peugeot and Italian steel firm Danieli. Dozens of other companies have said they are in talks or have signed provisional agreements with Iranian partners. But lawyers say those deals will be difficult or impossible to carry out if large European banks refuse to finance them or transfer money in and out of the country, for fear that doing so might violate the remaining sanctions or that the restrictions might 'snap back' if Iran violates the nuclear agreement. Part of the problem is that knowing if a company or person is blacklisted or owned by a blacklisted person or company is difficult in a place such as Iran, attorneys said. 'The problem is the IRGC doesn't walk out there waving a flag and saying, Hey, I own 51.4 percent of this company; don't deal with me,' said Aaron Hutman, a sanctions attorney at Pillsbury in Washington. 'The banks are being asked to deal in a world where you have very sophisticated players who over the course of years of sanctions have become very good at hiding themselves.' ... 'The banks have to hear something along the lines of 'If you act in good faith, you can expect that we are not going to engage in any heavy-handed enforcement,'' Hutman said. 'That's not the message you get. The message you get is, 'We plan to vigorously enforce our Iran-related laws.'" http://t.uani.com/1NA7d65

Nuclear & Ballistic Missile Program

Washington Examiner: "The Obama administration is moving to finalize an $8.6 million deal with Iran to buy a supply of heavy water used in the country's nuclear program. 'We are still in the process of executing that first transaction,' Energy Secretary Ernest Moniz said Wednesday at a policy forum hosted by Politico in Washington. Moniz strived to make clear that the heavy water purchase would be a one-time deal and not something that will become part of normalized trade with Iran. 'We would facilitate a first purchase, and a first purchase only,' he said, explaining the terms laid out in the nuclear deal the Obama administration hashed out with the Islamic Republic last year. Moniz was a key player in reaching the deal. Sen. Tom Cotton, R-Ark., introduced an amendment to a $37.5 billion energy spending bill that would have banned any future purchases of Iran's heavy water. The amendment was voted down last week in an effort to move the spending bill, which funds many of the Energy Department's programs." http://t.uani.com/1U1KFrf

U.S.-Iran Relations

AP: "A nonprofit organization headed by a Lebanese citizen held prisoner in Iran received grants totaling $730,000 from the U.S. government for projects in the Middle East, The Associated Press has learned. Nizar Zakka, 49, a technology expert and advocate for Internet freedom, was arrested in Tehran in September after being invited by the Iranian government to attend a conference there. Although no charges have been announced, Iranian media has accused him of being an American spy, allegations vigorously rejected by his family and associates. Zakka, who lives in Washington and holds resident status in the U.S., leads the Arab ICT Organization, or IJMA3, an industry consortium from 13 countries that advocates for information technology in the region... Zakka's family and his supporters are pressing the U.S. government to become more active in trying to obtain his release, arguing that his arrest was due to his ties to America. Supporters have written Secretary of State John Kerry stating Zakka travelled to Iran 'with the knowledge and approval of the U.S. State Department, and his trip was funded by grants' from it. Those assertions could not be verified by the AP and his friends say they can't obtain copies of the contract from the State Department due to federal regulations. 'Nizar is a man without a country when it comes to consular assistance,' the April 18 letter to Kerry reads. 'We believe that the State Department has a moral obligation to help Nizar in his time of need.'" http://t.uani.com/1WFacgf

Business Risk

WSJ: "Larger U.K. banks may keep on avoiding business with Iran as long as the U.S. sanctions program remains in place, but smaller and middle-sized banks and businesses are keen on commercial engagement with the country, according to sanctions experts. 'The big global exporters are taking their time to get into those deals...But [the small and medium-enterprises] market is really keen to re-establish relationships with Iran,' said Justine Walker, the British Bankers' Association director of financial crime (sanctions and bribery). 'My fear is that they are the ones who will find the access to banking the most challenging,' Ms. Walker said Wednesday during a panel discussion on sanctions in London organized by Dow Jones Risk & Compliance and The Wall Street Journal... 'It's not the gold rush everybody expected it to be,' said Ms. Walker. She said she gets asked whether U.K. banks will get back into Iran 'every day, 10 times a day,' but although risk appetites across the BBA-about 270 financial firms-is diverse, the risk of breaching any sanctions is still too high. 'The absolute predominant view is that it remains very challenging whilst the U.S. primary sanctions are still in place,' she said." http://t.uani.com/1qwglgW

Sanctions Enforcement

NYT: "The lawyer for Reza Zarrab, a gold trader based in Turkey who is jailed in Manhattan on charges of conspiring to violate United States sanctions on Iran, proposed on Wednesday that his client be released on $50 million bond with strict conditions to ensure that he would be present for trial. Mr. Zarrab was arrested in March on a trip to Florida and was sent to New York for prosecution. In 2013, he was detained by the authorities in Turkey as part of a wide-ranging corruption investigation of businessmen with close ties to Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who was then Turkey's prime minister and is now its president. Under his lawyer's proposal, Mr. Zarrab's bond would be secured by $10 million in cash and he would be required to remain in his New York residence under 24-hour armed guard and GPS monitoring. The lawyer, Benjamin Brafman, said in papers filed in Federal District Court that the office of Preet Bharara, the United States attorney for the Southern District of New York, had rejected the defense's bail proposal and wanted Mr. Zarrab detained until trial." http://t.uani.com/27Dx0kk

Sanctions Relief

WSJ: "Global hotel companies are establishing new beachheads in Iran, betting that lifted sanctions against the Middle East nation will spark a jump in tourism and business travel after decades of economic isolation. Spanish operator Melia Hotels International is planning to open a 319-room hotel next year on the Caspian Sea. French group Accor Hotels, which opened two hotels near the Tehran airport last autumn, is establishing a joint-stock company in Iran through which it will partner with local groups to manage hotels. Abu Dhabi-based Rotana Hotel Management Corp. PJSC has started developing properties in the country as well... 'We just have to wait. That's the frustrating bit,' said Peter Norman, senior vice president for acquisitions and development at Hyatt in Europe, the Mideast and Africa. 'We're really keen to go in there,' he said. Hyatt and Germany-based Kempinski Hotels have been exploring opportunities but said for the moment barriers remain too high." http://t.uani.com/1OJFfoM

Dong-A Ilbo (South Korea): "Hyundai Motor is likely to resume knockdown exports to Iran, following the footsteps of Kia. It has been confirmed that the auto maker is undergoing legal review of a deal to export auto parts to SDM, an Iranian transportation & construction company for knockdown manufacturing of its mid-sized truck 'Mighty.' The company plans to reach an agreement by next month at the earliest, if the results turn out positive. Concrete numbers are yet to be fixed, but annual number of the deal is expected to reach between 2,000 and 3,000, given the size of the local market. A 'knockdown export' is about Hyundai exporting parts to an Iranian maker so that it can produce finished vehicles and sell them in the market. Hyundai will transfer its assembly techniques during the process. Hyundai has already agreed with SDM immediately after the removal of sanctions imposed on Iran that it will supply parts for the model upon SDM's request. 'SDM will be able to launch Mighty as its first automobile,' said an SDM official... Meanwhile, Kia Motors resumed its knockdown business with Saipa, Iran's No.2 car maker, earlier this year. 1,200 Fortes (local brand: Serato) were locally produced during the first quarter. Kia has also sold 800 finished cars to the market, including some of the K3 model. The brand's representative sedan Pride had once been one of the most commonly seen cars on Iran's roads along with Peugeot, before the sanctions." http://t.uani.com/1Tg4Wz8

Financial Tribune (Iran): "The first edition of the Iran-Italy Summit was held in Tehran on Monday with a large delegation of Italian business leaders conferring with their Iranian counterparts on ways to foster closer ties between Italy and the Middle East's second largest economy. Naming Iran as the gateway between the three continents of Asia, Europe and Africa, Vincenzo Amendola, Italy's deputy foreign minister told the meeting that 'Italy has never left Iran and will never give up on it.' He underscored the time-tested relationship between the two countries that goes back 200 years. The high-profile event which was organized by the European House-Ambrosetti was also the courtesy of the Italian Foreign Ministry, the  the Iranian Embassy in Rome, Italy's Institute for Foreign Trade and the Italian-Iranian Chamber of Commerce and Industry. It brought together some key Italian and Iranian corporate and institutional stakeholders, leading economists and opinion leaders to help build an influential community of business leaders and policymakers able and willing to reshape two-way relations. Majid Takht-Ravanchi, Iran's deputy foreign minister for European and American Affairs, Masoud Khansari, head of Tehran's Chamber of Commerce, Industries and Mines and Mauro Conciatori, the Italian ambassador to Iran were among the keynote speakers... Ferial Mostofi, chairwoman of KDD Group and a board member of several trade institutions said the partnership with Ambrosetti will pave the way for Iran to establish ties with international legal and accounting firms that in turn will also help Iranian firms to be rated by the world's top rating agencies." http://t.uani.com/1OBvG5N

Extremism

Times of Israel: "An Iranian television news report about the country's current Holocaust cartoon contest described how one section was 'dedicated to drawings of people like Hitler and [Prime Minister] Benjamin Netanyahu' and that the goal was to 'enhance' freedom of speech. The segment on Al-Alam TV, an Arabic-language station based in Tehran, was broadcast Sunday and covered the previous day's opening of the Second International Holocaust Cartoon Contest, an event that has been condemned by the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization and by the US State Department. An English-language subtitled version of the television report was provided Tuesday by the Middle East Media Research Institute, a Washington-based watchdog group. Along with footage of the opening ceremony, reporter Salim Issa explained that 'the goals of the contest are to enhance the culture of freedom of speech by means of modern art and to open new horizons for cultural and artistic cooperation and exchange between Iranian and foreign artists.' Issa highlighted 'the largest and most symbolic picture in exhibition,' a drawing showing a kite in Palestinian national colors flying above gray, imposing brick walls arranged in a swastika... Another section of the exhibit, which runs for two weeks, is 'dedicated to drawings of people like Hitler and Benjamin Netanyahu, the prime minister of the Israeli occupation, who appeared in one painting wielding a sword like an ISIS terrorist.'" http://t.uani.com/1Th6Uzq

Regional Destabilization

Middle East Eye: "The military wing of the Lebanese movement Hezbollah has been instructed by Iran to suspend operations against Israel and to target Saudi Arabia instead, Middle East Eye can reveal. The instruction comes in the wake of widespread anger at the apparent assassination of Mustafa Badreddine, its military commander in Syria and head of the movement's military wing, which Hezbollah blamed on 'takfiri' forces supported by Riyadh. According to well informed sources in Lebanon, the order was conveyed in person by Qasim Soleimani, the head of the Quds Force of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard (IRGC) who came to Beirut to give his condolescences. Soleimani also named Badreddine's successor and his two deputies, which is believed to be an unprecedented move in the relationship between Iran and the Lebanese movement. Previous appointments have been an internal matter for Hezbollah in consultation with Iran, MEE understands. Badreddine's replacement is Fuad Shukr, whose nom de guerre is al-Hajj Mohsen, the sources told MEE... Iran's order to Hezbollah, and the fact that they have gone to such lengths as to appoint a successor, confirms the significance to Iran of Badreddine's death, the exact circumstances of which are still a matter of speculation. His death near Damascus airport was initially blamed on an Israeli covert operation, but this was contradicted by a Hezbollah statement." http://t.uani.com/1qwhK7a

Syria Conflict

Reuters: "Iran's elite Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) said on Wednesday many Iranians have volunteered to fight in Syria in support of President Bashar al-Assad's war against 'terrorism', the semi-official Tasnim news agency reported... 'Many young Iranians from different parts of the country and of different ethnicities have volunteered to go to Syria ... to help the Syrian government and the Syrian people in their fight against terrorism...,' Tasnim quoted the head of the IRGC's public relations office, General Ramezan Sharif, as saying... The Islamic Republic denies having any conventional armed forces in Syria, but has acknowledged having military advisers and volunteers from the IRGC there to help Assad's forces. Last month, however, Tehran said military commandos had also been dispatched to Syria as advisers, suggesting it was using its regular army as well as forces from the IRGC. However, Iran's army chief later said those personnel were volunteers working under IRGC supervision, and that the regular army was not directly involved... In the past few months Iran has sustained serious losses in Syria, including several high-ranking members of the IRGC. Iranian media have reported the death of over 100 members of the IRGC and its affiliated volunteer, the Basij militia, in Syria... 'Syria is the golden ring of resistance front,' Ali Akbar Velayati, top adviser to Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, told Iran's Student News Agency ISNA." http://t.uani.com/23Yks2g

Human Rights

NYT: "A house visit by a daughter of a prominent ayatollah to a female leader of the persecuted Bahai religious minority touched off a debate this week in Iran about the harsh treatment of a group deemed pagans and impure by the country's dominant clerics. The issue was raised last week when the Iranian news media reported that Faezeh Hashemi, 54, a daughter of the former president, Ayatollah Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, had sat down for tea with Fariba Kamalabadi, 52, a Bahai leader. Ms. Kamalabadi, was on temporary leave from a 20-year prison sentence imposed on her and six other Bahai leaders for spying for Israel. The United States State Department has condemned their imprisonment and called for their release along with other 'prisoners of conscience.' An official with Iran's conservative judiciary, Gholamhossein Mohseni-Ejei, called the meeting 'obscene and despicable,' and told reporters on Wednesday that he was planning to take Ms. Hashemi to court. Ms. Hashemi and Ms. Kamalabadi became acquainted in 2013, when they shared a prison cell after Ms. Hashemi was given a six-month sentence for 'spreading propaganda against the system.' Before then, 'I had no information about these people,' Ms. Hashemi said of the Bahais. 'But with the Islamic Republic imprisoning me, I became familiar with them, and this opened another window in my life.' ... Meeting a member of the Bahai faith, however, was one provocation too many. Even her father criticized her for having tea with a member of the Bahais, whom he called 'heretics,' the semiofficial Fars News Agency reported on Monday. 'She has committed a wrong deed and should be ashamed of herself,' he said." http://t.uani.com/27DtYwH

Opinion & Analysis

UANI CEO Amb. Mark D. Wallace in City A.M.: "This morning, in a giant ballroom in one of London's most luxurious hotels, executives from leading corporations will gather for a major investment conference. In some ways, the conference will be like dozens that take place across London each year. However, this one has an unusual and ominous twist: it is organised precisely to encourage British and European financiers to invest heavily in Iran. According to the conference marketing materials, the event, co-sponsored by the Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, is designed to help facilitate the re-integration of the country into the global business community. Everything about the event oozes hope for respectability, but it cannot gloss over a simple truth. The conference - whose lead sponsors include entities whose property remains blocked in the United States - is encouraging investment in the world's leading state sponsor of terrorism, in a country that brutally represses its own people, and one that simply cannot be trusted to play by the rules of the global financial system. Companies contemplating rolling the dice with the Ayatollah should keep in mind five broad sets of business risk: investing in the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC); revocation of the Iran nuclear deal; local corruption and criminality; dangers to the safety of staff and their families; and massive reputational risk. But the prospect of breaching the laws of the leading economic powers - most obviously the United States - is perhaps the most urgent risk for British businesses considering work in Iran. Iran is a largely unknown entity for many businesses, and they could inadvertently find themselves working with entities that are secretly managed or owned by a hugely powerful terrorist organisation - the IRGC. With more than 100,000 members, the IRGC is primarily a military organisation, but it exerts huge economic clout. It controls key strategic industries - like Iran's energy sector - and has a major role in the black market. Working with the IRGC would be illegal but also difficult to guard against because the group operates through numerous front companies. Businesses might also find themselves in a difficult legal position were far-reaching sanctions to be reintroduced on Iran. The international nuclear deal agreed to put limits on what Iran can do in the nuclear field. Given Tehran's past record, it is reasonable to assume that there is a high risk that it will flout this agreement and continue to pursue the development of nuclear weapons. Should this happen, previously lifted sanctions would be reinstated, and international business would quickly flee... For Iran to be integrated into the global business community, it must undertake fundamental reforms to attract business; commit itself to peaceful coexistence with its neighbours and those in the West; treat its own citizens with dignity; and put in place the fundamental building blocks of a free market economy. Those delegates walking into today's conference should keep this in mind as they listen to people talk about investing in Iran as if it were like investing in Western Europe." http://t.uani.com/1U1Mh4k

NYPost Editorial: "If the American people knew the full - still classified - details of how Iran treated the US sailors it took captive last January, they'd be shocked. So says a senior member of the House Armed Services Committee, who has received a 'full classified briefing from military officials.' We suspect Rep. Randy Forbes (R-Va.) is absolutely right. Because what's already public is horrifying enough. Yet the public won't learn the whole story for at least another year - well past November's presidential election, Forbes told the Washington Free Beacon. 'I think that when the details actually come out,' he said, 'most Americans are going to be kind of taken aback by the entire incident, both how Iran handled it and how we handled it.' Again, it's already an outrage. The Iranians ordered our sailors to kneel at gunpoint, parading them with hands in the air and forcing the lone woman to cover her hair, in accordance with their religious rules. And they took photos and video of it all, as well as the commanding officer's coerced apology. That's multiple violations of international law - in just 15 hours of captivity that was itself illegal, since the sailors plainly veered into Iranian waters by accident. Despite all that, Secretary of State John Kerry actually praised Iran for finally releasing its captives, calling it a 'triumph of diplomacy.' The only one who's been held accountable? The officer in charge got dismissed from his post, it was disclosed last week... What's the excuse for keeping the American people in the dark about the details now? It's hard to see how the info can jeopardize national security - though it might foment even more opposition to Obama's Iran giveaway." http://t.uani.com/1WFaC6k
       

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

No comments:

Post a Comment